Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+145) Boston (-170)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (78-84 last season) will compete against the Baltimore Orioles (83-79 last year) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at +145 and the Red Sox are coming in at -170. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Dean Kremer and Chris Sale.

The Orioles earned 275 doubles as a squad and knocked 171 baseballs out of the stadium. Baltimore had a slugging % of .390 and struck out 1,390 times, while taking a walk on 476 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles put up 4.2 runs per contest, which was 20th in the league. They accrued 639 runs batted in and 1,281 base knocks for the previous season, and their team batting average finished at .236. They earned 674 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .305.

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The Orioles had an ERA of 3.97 last year (17th in baseball), and the staff struck out 1,214 batters. Their pitching staff walked 443 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.03 as a team over the course of last season. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.29. Orioles pitchers gave up 171 long balls and 688 runs in total (16th in the league).

The Orioles sent 541 relief pitchers to the mound during the previous year. The bullpen inherited 307 base runners in the prior season and 33.6% of those runners crossed the plate. They earned 46 saves over the course of last year and missed out on 13 out of their 59 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers earned a save rate of 78.0% and stepped onto the hill in 142 save situations. The relief pitchers earned 80 holds in the previous season (17th in baseball). Orioles relief pitchers entered the game with runners on base 213 times in addition to having 179 outings in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles had a tally of 4,300 putouts over the course of last season, in addition to 1,529 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .985 which was 19th in professional baseball, and had a total of 151 double plays. The Orioles converted 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,900 innings on the field, which ranked them 21st in baseball.

Kremer (9-15 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.57 while he has faced 840 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 201 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 71 free passes. His ERA is 4.55 (100 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.376. Kremer has taken the hill for 197 frames and has accumulated 156 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Boston had 155 home runs for the previous season in addition to 704 runs batted in. They hit 352 doubles, while walking 478 times as well as putting up 735 runs. The Boston Red Sox tallied a team OBP of .321 and a batting average of .258 last year. The Red Sox held a team SLG% of .409 and they earned 4.54 runs per contest (9th in the league). They struck out on 1,373 occasions (17th in baseball) and had 1,427 base hits.

The Red Sox had a team WHIP of 1.354 in addition to having a FIP of 4.17 as a staff over the course of last season. Their K/BB ratio was 2.56 (1,346 strikeouts vs 526 walks). They were sitting at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,411. They gave up 185 home runs and they surrender 4.95 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff given up 787 runs in the prior season while holding a team ERA of 4.53 (721 earned runs given up).

Boston called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 68 save opportunities and they earned 39 saves. They were ranked 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 57.4%, and they dispatched 576 relief pitchers to the mound last year. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations and also on 154 occasions with base runners. Boston relievers held an inherited score percentage of 39.6% out of 230 inherited base runners. Finishing with 156 save situations, the Red Sox had 88 holds and 29 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox twisted 134 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in MLB). The Red Sox racked up 1,447 assists, 85 errors and earned 4,293 putouts for the previous season. Out of their 12,879 innings on the field, the Red Sox had a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (26th in MLB).

In his career, Sale has conceded 1,362 base knocks while he has earned 2,064 strikeouts in 1,678 innings pitched. Sale (114-75 career record) is the owner of a 3.03 ERA and has given up 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 565 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.042 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 5.33 and he has gone up against 6,752 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-170)

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