Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 3/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Boston (-130)

The Baltimore Orioles (83-79 last year) are headed to Fenway Park on Thursday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (78-84 last season). The line on this contest has Baltimore at +110 and Boston opens at -130. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Kyle Gibson and Corey Kluber.

The Orioles earned 275 doubles as a unit and knocked 171 baseballs out of the stadium. Baltimore had a slugging percentage of .390 and struck out 1,390 times, while drawing a walk on 476 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles scored 4.2 runs per outing, which had them sitting at 20th in baseball. They compiled 639 runs batted in in addition to 1,281 hits for the prior year, while their team batting average came in at .236. They earned 674 runs scored while having a team OBP of .305.

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The Orioles held a team earned run average of 3.97 over the course of last year (17th in MLB), and they struck out 1,214 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.74 and the pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.29. Orioles pitchers yielded 171 home runs in addition to 688 total runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff walked 443 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 4.03 as a unit last year.

The Orioles relief pitchers had a save percentage of 78.0% and came into the game in 142 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 307 base runners over the course of last season with 33.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Orioles pitchers came into the game with players on base 213 times as well as having 179 games in high leverage situations. The Orioles sent 541 relievers to the mound over the course of last season. The bullpen finished with 80 holds in the prior season (17th in the league). They accumulated 46 saves in the prior season and missed out on 13 of 59 save opportunities.

The Baltimore Orioles had a tally of 4,300 putouts during the previous year, in addition to 1,529 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding rate was at .985 which had them ranked 19th in the majors, and had a total of 151 double plays. The Orioles converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of 12,900 innings, which had them ranked 21st in MLB.

Gibson has thrown 1,504 innings and has earned 1,202 punch outs during his career. Gibson (89-91 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.29 while he has faced 6,467 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.52 (755 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.385. He has given up 1,549 base hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 534 walks.

The Boston Red Sox earned a team OBP of .321 in addition to a batting average of .258 over the course of last season. They struck out on 1,373 occasions (17th in the league) and were sitting with 1,427 base hits. Boston hit 155 home runs last season to go along with 704 runs batted in. The Red Sox had a team slugging percentage of .409 and they tallied 4.54 runs per game (9th in baseball). They hit 352 doubles, while taking a walk 478 times as well as scoring 735 runs.

The Red Sox had a WHIP of 1.354 in addition to having a FIP of 4.17 as a squad in the previous season. They finished at 26th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,411. The Boston pitching staff surrendered 787 runs during the previous year while having an ERA of 4.53 (721 earned runs given up). They had a K/BB ratio of 2.56 (1,346 strikeouts against 526 bases on balls). They surrendered 185 dingers and they relinquished 4.95 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball).

Boston relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 39.6% of 230 inherited runners. Their relievers took the field 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 154 occasions with runners on. Ending the season with 156 save situations, the Red Sox amassed 88 holds and 29 blown saves. They were ranked 24th in the league with a save rate of 57.4%, and they dispatched 576 relievers onto the diamond last season. Boston had relief pitchers enter the game in 68 save opportunities and they came away with 39 saves.

In 12,879 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox finished with a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (26th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox twisted 134 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in MLB). The Red Sox accrued 1,447 assists, 85 errors and earned a total of 4,293 putouts over the course of last year.

Kluber (113-71 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.31 earned run average and has given up 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.85 and he has faced 6,431 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 584 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.112 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. So far in his career, Kluber has allowed 1,417 hits and he has 1,683 K's in 1,586 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+110)

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