Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Peacock

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Atlanta (-145)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (22-11) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (22-10) on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Orioles at +125 while the Braves are at -145. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tyler Wells and Bryce Elder.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.6 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have racked up 180 runs and hold an OBP of .342. The Orioles have tallied 59 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 41 baseballs out of the park. They have 173 RBI's as well as 281 base knocks this season, and their team batting average sits at .261. Baltimore is slugging .435 and have been called out on strikes 260 times, while being walked on 130 occasions.

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The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 4.55 so far this season (20th in baseball), and they have rung up 289 batters. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 39 home runs and also 149 runs (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 101 hitters and their FIP is 4.30 as a squad so far this year. Baltimore has surrendered 281 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 144 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 43 times in addition to having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 31 holds for the season (1st in the league). The Orioles relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 60.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 47 save situations. They have compiled 9 saves so far this year and have blown 6 out of their 15 save chances. The relievers have inherited 66 base runners on the campaign and 31.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 117 relievers to the hill this year.

The Orioles have converted 67.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,562 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 23rd in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have earned 854 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 267 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which is 9th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 34 double plays.

Wells has taken the hill for 195 frames and has accounted for 168 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Wells (11-11 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.35 and he has gone up against 777 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.05 (88 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.007. He has allowed 151 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 46 walks.

The Atlanta Braves have a team OBP of .344 in addition to a team batting average of .264 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 302 instances (7th in the league) and have a total of 296 hits. Atlanta has 55 home runs this year as well as 172 runs batted in. The Braves have a team SLG% of .470 and they have an average of 5.45 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have recorded 59 doubles, while taking a walk 127 times and racking up 180 runs.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.261 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.72 as a pitching staff on the season. They rank 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 267. The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 126 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.62 (117 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.50 (306 strikeouts vs 100 walks). They have allowed 29 homers and they relinquish 3.90 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

With 42 save situations, the Braves have recorded 26 holds and also 7 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 16 save opportunities and they have come away with 9 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 36 times in high leverage situations and also on 29 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 44.4% out of their 45 inherited runners. They are ranked 23rd in the league with a save rate of 56.3%, and they have dispatched 109 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

In their 2,619 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (24th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 29 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (27th in MLB). The Braves have 271 assists, 22 errors and are sitting with 873 putouts this year.

In his career, Elder has given up 73 base knocks while earning 79 strikeouts in 90 frames. He has given up a total of 26 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.167 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 369 opposing batters during his career. Elder (5-4 career win-loss record) holds a 2.60 earned run average while allowing 7.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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