Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/5/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, May 5, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+200) Atlanta (-240)

The Atlanta Braves (21-10) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (20-10) at Truist Park on Friday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +200 while Atlanta is sitting at -240. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Dean Kremer and Max Fried.

The Orioles have recorded 54 doubles as a unit and have smacked 36 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .427 and have been called out on strikes 242 times, while being walked on 118 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 6th in baseball. They have accumulated 153 runs batted in and 259 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .259. They have racked up 158 runs and have an on-base percentage of .337.

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The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 4.39 so far this year (17th in the league), and their staff has rung up 273 batters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 35 home runs in addition to 135 runs (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 92 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.19 as a unit so far this season. Baltimore has surrendered 254 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 130 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.97 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Orioles bullpen have a save percentage of 64.3% and stepped onto the hill in 45 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 60 runners on the year and 31.7% of them earned a run for their team. Orioles bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 40 times as well as having 45 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 109 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have earned 30 holds so far this season (1st in baseball). They have tallied 9 saves on the campaign and have blown 5 of 14 save opportunities.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 800 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 249 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which has them sitting 11th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 30 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,400 innings on the field, ranking them 21st in baseball.

Kremer has pitched in 227 frames and has totaled 181 K's thus far in his career. Kremer (11-16 career record) has a FIP of 4.73 and he has faced 972 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.83 (122 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.403. He has given up 239 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) with 80 walks.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for an on-base percentage of .343 in addition to a team batting average of .260 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 286 occasions (7th in the league) and are sitting with 273 base knocks. Atlanta has 52 home runs so far this season as well as 162 runs batted in. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .468 and they score 5.48 runs per outing (5th in the league). They have 55 two-baggers, while walking 120 times as well as scoring 170 runs.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.242 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.59 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.60 (291 strikeouts against 94 walks). They come in at 12th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 245. They have conceded 25 dingers and they allow 3.76 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 114 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.53 (107 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 39 save situations, the Braves have tallied 24 holds and 7 blown saves. Atlanta has had relievers take the mound in 15 save chances and they have earned 8 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 34 times in high leverage situations in addition to 28 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score rate of 40.5% of 42 inherited base runners. They are ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 53.3%, and they have sent 103 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 28 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in professional baseball). The Braves have recorded 256 assists, 20 errors and have accounted for 819 putouts this year. In their 2,457 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (24th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Fried has surrendered 581 base hits while earning 635 strikeouts in 652 frames. Fried (56-25 career record) is the owner of a 3.01 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 218 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.159 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 2,663 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-240)

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