Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 3/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-240) Washington (+194)

The Washington Nationals (55-107 last season) will play the Atlanta Braves (101-61 last year) at Nationals Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at -240 while Washington is coming in at +194. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Patrick Corbin.

The Braves tallied 298 doubles as a team and hit 243 balls out of the stadium. Atlanta had a slugging rate of .443 and were rung up 1,498 times, while drawing a walk on 470 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves earned 4.9 runs per outing, which put them at 3rd in the league. They accounted for 753 runs batted in and 1,394 hits last year, while their team batting average was at .253. They earned a total of 789 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .317.

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The Braves had an ERA of 3.46 over the course of last year (5th in MLB), and the staff struck out 1,554 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 500 hitters and their FIP came in at 3.46 as a squad for the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 3.11 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.19. Braves pitchers gave up 148 home runs and 609 runs (5th in baseball).

The Braves relievers recorded a save rate of 66.3% and stepped onto the mound in 200 save situations. The relievers inherited 193 base runners last season and 31.6% of those players ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on base 136 times as well as having 182 outings in high leverage situations. The Braves had sent 518 relief pitchers to the hill for the previous season. The relievers had a total of 114 holds over the course of last season (2nd in MLB). They recorded 55 saves over the course of last year and missed out on 28 of their 83 save chances.

The Atlanta Braves earned a total of 4,344 putouts over the course of the prior season, in addition to 1,382 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate was previously at .987 which had them sitting 9th in pro baseball, and they turned 110 double plays. The Braves transformed 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 13,032 innings, which ranked them 14th in MLB.

Fried (54-25 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.30 while going up against 2,589 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 567 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 171 free passes. His earned run average is 3.09 (217 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.167. Fried has thrown 632 innings and is sitting with 617 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

Washington was sitting with 136 home runs over the course of last year and 579 runs batted in. They recorded 252 two-baggers, while getting a free base 442 times and earning 603 runs. The Washington Nationals tallied an OBP of .310 and a batting average of .249 last season. The Nationals had a team slugging % of .377 and they scored 3.72 runs per game (26th in MLB). They struck out on 1,221 instances (27th in the league) and had a total of 1,351 base hits.

The Nationals held a team WHIP of 1.436 and had a FIP of 4.98 as a pitching staff over the course of the prior season. Their K/BB ratio was 2.19 (1,220 strikeouts vs 558 walks). They ranked 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,469. They yielded 244 long balls and they surrender 5.45 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Washington pitching staff conceded 855 runs last season while having an ERA of 5.01 (785 earned runs allowed).

Washington bullpen pitchers had an inherited score rate of 32.2% out of 242 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers came in 128 times in high leverage situations in addition to 152 occasions with base runners. Finishing with 105 save situations, the Nationals had 59 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They were ranked 18th in baseball with a save rate of 62.2%, and they sent 588 relievers to the mound last season. Washington had relievers take the mound in 45 save opportunities and they tallied 28 saves.

Washington Nationals turned 126 double plays and had a fielding rate of .982 (29th in the majors). The Nationals accrued 1,410 assists, 104 errors and had 4,235 putouts last year. Out of their 12,705 innings on the field, the Nationals held a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (24th in baseball).

In his career, Corbin has allowed 1,600 hits while tallying 1,466 punch outs in 1,537 innings pitched. Corbin (87-103 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.31 ERA and has surrendered 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 736 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.345 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.13 and he has faced 6,592 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-240)

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