Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/14/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-105) Toronto (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays (22-16) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (25-13) at Rogers Centre on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Braves at -105 and the Blue Jays open at -115. The over/under comes in at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jared Shuster and Yusei Kikuchi.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .455 and have struck out 344 times, while being walked on 142 occasions. They have accounted for 190 runs batted in and 331 base knocks on the year, and their batting average sits at .258. The Braves have accumulated 68 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 60 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 199 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .338. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have conceded 32 home runs and also 143 total runs (4th in MLB). Atlanta has given up 301 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 131 earned runs. The Braves have a team earned run average of 3.49 so far this year (6th in the league), and they have struck out 369 batters. They have walked 118 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.54 as a squad on the campaign.

Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 35 times and also have had 43 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 26 holds on the year (5th in the league). The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 55.6% and stepped onto the hill in 44 save situations. They have compiled 10 saves this year and have blown 8 of their 18 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 51 base runners over the course of the season with 43.1% of those runners crossed home plate. The Braves have sent 130 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Braves have turned 67.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,042 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in MLB. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 1,014 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 316 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .982 which has them sitting 26th in MLB, and they have twisted 33 double plays.

Shuster (0-1 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.27 and he has faced 45 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 12 base hits (12.5 hits per nine innings) with 9 free passes. His ERA is 8.31 (8 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 2.423. Shuster has pitched in 8 innings and has racked up 5 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .413 and they are recording 4.76 runs per contest (10th in baseball). They have recorded 73 doubles, while taking a walk 133 times as well as putting up 181 runs. Toronto has a total of 43 home runs on the season and 168 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 316 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have a total of 335 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an OBP of .331 and a team batting average of .256 for the season.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.248 with a FIP of 4.15 as a unit for the season. They are sitting at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 304. The Toronto pitching staff have given up 163 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.99 (148 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.40 (349 strikeouts against 113 bases on balls). They have conceded 46 home runs and they relinquish 4.39 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

Sitting with 38 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 23 holds and 4 blown saves. Toronto has called on relievers to enter the contest in 15 save chances and they have come away with 11 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 38 times in high leverage situations and on 43 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.0% of 63 inherited base runners. They are ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have dispatched 127 relief pitchers onto the field this season.

In their 3,012 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (15th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 28 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors). The Blue Jays have recorded 302 assists, 21 errors and have accounted for 1,004 putouts over the course of the season.

In his career, Kikuchi has given up 511 base hits and he has 483 punch outs in 504 innings pitched. Kikuchi (26-31 career record) is the owner of a 4.89 ERA while giving up 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 274 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.407 and a FIP of 5.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and he has gone up against 2,188 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-105)

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