Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/13/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-105) Toronto (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays (21-16) will play the Atlanta Braves (25-12) at Rogers Centre on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Braves at -105 while the Blue Jays are opening at -115. The betting total comes in at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Bryce Elder and Jose Berrios.

The Braves have recorded 67 two-baggers as a team and have hit 60 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .463 and have been called out on strikes 336 times, while being walked on 140 occasions. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are notching 5.4 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. They have compiled 190 RBI's in addition to 329 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is sitting at .262. They have notched a total of 199 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .342.

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The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 3.52 this season (6th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 355 batters. Braves pitchers have conceded 31 home runs and 140 runs in total (4th in the league). They have walked 115 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.57 as a unit on the season. Atlanta has given up 295 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 129 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.09 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Braves have sent 128 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 50 base runners over the course of the season and 42.0% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 10 saves for the season and have blown 8 out of their 18 save opportunities. The Braves relievers have recorded a save rate of 55.6% and has entered the game in 44 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 26 holds over the course of the season (5th in MLB). Braves pitchers have entered the game with runners on 34 times in addition to having 43 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have converted 67.8% of balls in play into outs out of 2,970 innings on the field, which has them ranked 24th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 990 putouts on the year, in addition to 309 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which puts them in 26th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 33 double plays.

Elder has taken the ball for 95 innings and has earned 83 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 2.55 (27 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.185. He has conceded 77 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 36 free passes. Elder (5-4 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.73 while he has gone up against 394 opposing batters in the majors.

The Blue Jays have a team slugging % of .413 and they are scoring 4.81 runs per outing (10th in the league). They have put up 71 doubles, while walking 130 times and notching 178 runs. Toronto has tallied 42 home runs on the season to go along with 166 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 302 occasions (24th in baseball) and have totaled 328 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have tallied an OBP of .331 in addition to a batting average of .256 on the year.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.270 and have a FIP of 4.20 as a unit on the year. They are sitting at 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 302. The Toronto pitching staff have given up 163 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.10 (148 earned runs given up). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (341 strikeouts vs 111 bases on balls). They have relinquished 46 dingers and they surrender 4.51 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 15 save chances and they have walked away with 11 saves. They are ranked 6th in baseball with a save percentage of 73.3%, and they have sent 127 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 43 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.0% out of 63 inherited base runners. Sitting with 38 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 23 holds in addition to 4 blown saves.

In 2,931 innings played, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (16th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 27 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (22nd in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 294 assists, 21 errors and have a tally of 977 putouts on the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Berrios has conceded 1,015 base hits while he has accumulated 1,047 K's in 1,064 frames. Berrios (75-57 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.26 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 504 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.28 and he has gone up against 4,508 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-105)

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