Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, July 7, 2023

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-115) Tampa Bay (-105)

The Tampa Bay Rays (57-32) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (58-28) at Tropicana Field on Friday. The line on this contest has Atlanta at -115 while Tampa Bay is sitting at -105. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Charlie Morton and Tyler Glasnow.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .499 and have struck out 698 times, while being walked on 288 occasions. They have accounted for 470 RBI's in addition to 809 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .274. The Braves have accumulated 152 doubles as a team and have smacked 166 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 487 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .342. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are recording 5.7 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. Braves pitchers have conceded 90 home runs in addition to 340 runs in total (2nd in the league). Atlanta has allowed 697 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 309 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.63 so far this season (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 808 hitters. They have walked 270 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.92 as a team this year.

The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 65.9% and has come into the game in 109 save situations. The relievers have inherited 111 runners for the season with 29.7% of those players ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 76 times and also have had 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 286 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have a total of 64 holds this year (2nd in MLB). They have earned 29 saves on the year and have not converted 15 out of their 44 save chances.

The Braves have transformed 68.4% of balls in play into outs in their 6,903 innings on the field, which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 2,301 putouts this year, as well as 709 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which has them sitting 26th in baseball, and they have twisted 72 double plays.

Morton has taken the ball for 1,887 innings and is sitting with 1,802 K's in his pro baseball career. Morton (124-107 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.77 while he has faced 8,086 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.01 (841 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.302. He has conceded 1,778 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 679 free passes.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with an on-base percentage of .334 in addition to a batting average of .262 so far this year. They have struck out on 763 occasions (13th in baseball) and have notched a total of 785 hits. Tampa Bay has hit 133 HRs for the year to go along with 471 runs batted in. The Rays hold a team slugging % of .458 and they are earning 5.54 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have put up 163 doubles, while getting a free base 290 times as well as scoring 493 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 342 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.75 (327 earned runs given up). They have given up 92 HR's and they surrender 3.92 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.222 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (783 strikeouts vs 285 walks). They rank 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 674.

Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 42 save chances and they have tallied 25 saves. They sit at 19th in the league with a save rate of 59.5%, and they have sent 289 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 84 times in high leverage situations and on 70 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.0% out of 113 inherited base runners. With 87 save situations, the Rays have 45 holds and 17 blown saves.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 74 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Rays have racked up 803 assists, 35 errors and have a total of 2,355 putouts on the season. In their 7,065 innings on the field, the Rays have a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (3rd in MLB).

So far in his career, Glasnow has surrendered 367 base knocks while totaling 572 K's in 445 innings. Glasnow (22-22 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.04 earned run average and has surrendered 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 200 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 and he has gone up against 1,866 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-115)

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