Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, April 18, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-145) San Diego (+125)

The Atlanta Braves (12-4) are en route to Petco Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the San Diego Padres (8-9). The line on this contest has the Braves at -145 and the Padres are priced at +125. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jared Shuster and Blake Snell.

Atlanta has a slugging rate of .459 and have struck out 153 times, while being walked on 65 occasions. They have earned 82 RBI's in addition to 153 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .274. The Braves have recorded 32 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 23 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 87 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .352. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are earning 5.4 runs per outing, which is 4th in baseball.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.45 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.33. Braves pitchers have allowed 11 home runs and also 63 total runs (6th in baseball). Atlanta has surrendered 133 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 60 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.75 this season (9th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 142 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 58 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.68 as a squad this year.

The Braves relievers have recorded a save percentage of 62.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 23 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 19 base runners on the year and 31.6% of those players crossed home plate. Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 16 times as well as having 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 59 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 15 holds on the campaign (2nd in MLB). They have accumulated 5 saves so far this season and have not converted 3 of their 8 chances to get a save.

The Atlanta Braves have 432 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 135 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which is 20th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 15 double plays. The Braves have turned 67.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,296 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 21st in baseball.

Shuster has taken the ball for 8 innings and has earned 5 punch outs thus far in his career. Shuster (0-1 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 5.33 and he has gone up against 45 batters in the majors. His ERA is 8.31 (8 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 2.423. He has surrendered 12 base knocks (12.5 hits per nine innings) and has 9 free passes.

The San Diego Padres have recorded a team OBP of .316 as well as a batting average of .231 on the year. They have struck out on 144 occasions (11th in the league) and have earned 128 base hits. San Diego has knocked in 22 home runs for the year and 67 RBIs. The Padres hold a team slugging percentage of .404 and they score 4.18 runs per contest (22nd in MLB). They have recorded 30 doubles, while taking a walk 67 times and scoring 71 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 73 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.23 (71 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 17 home runs and they relinquish 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.402 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a team so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (148 strikeouts vs 69 free passes). They are sitting at 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 143.

Sitting with 19 save situations, the Padres have amassed 12 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 7 save opportunities and they have tallied 4 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 18 times in high leverage situations in addition to 11 occasions with base runners. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.4% out of their 22 inherited base runners. They sit at 17th in the league holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 51 relievers onto the diamond this season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 17 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .992 (3rd in MLB). The Padres have 165 assists, 5 errors and are sitting with 455 putouts so far this season. In 1,365 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Snell has allowed 678 base hits while he has accumulated 1,005 strikeouts in 825 innings pitched. Snell (57-48 mark in his career) has a 3.47 ERA while conceding 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up 318 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.260 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 and he has gone up against 3,443 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (+125)

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