Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/13/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, September 13, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-218) Philadelphia (+180)

The Atlanta Braves (94-50) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (79-65). The line on this matchup has the Braves at -218 and the Phillies are sitting at +180. The total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Spencer Strider and Cristopher Sanchez.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.8 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in MLB. They have a total of 841 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .344. The Braves have recorded 249 doubles as a team and have smacked 278 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 813 runs batted in in addition to 1,362 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is .275. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .501 and have been called out on strikes 1,138 times, while drawing a walk on 482 occasions.

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The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 3.91 for the season (6th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,362 batters. Braves pitchers have surrendered 155 home runs in addition to 603 total runs (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 460 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.94 as a unit on the season. Atlanta has conceded 1,165 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 556 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.96 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Braves have dispatched 472 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 171 base runners over the course of the season and 30.4% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 46 saves this season and have not converted 21 of their 67 save chances. The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 68.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 159 save situations. The relievers have recorded 91 holds on the campaign (4th in the league). Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 116 times and also have had 153 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have earned 3,837 putouts this year, as well as 1,172 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which ranks 16th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 121 double plays. The Braves have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,511 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 20th in baseball.

Strider has pitched in 296 frames and is sitting with 452 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.31 (109 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.051. He has given up 213 base knocks (6.5 hits per nine innings) and has 98 walks. Strider (28-10 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.48 and he has faced 1,198 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .440 and they are earning 4.91 runs per outing (9th in MLB). They have hit 269 doubles, while taking a walk 480 times as well as racking up 707 runs. Philadelphia has knocked in 191 HRs on the season and 685 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,304 instances (8th in the league) and have 1,278 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded a team on-base percentage of .330 as well as a team batting average of .259 over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 636 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.03 (573 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 165 homers and they allow 4.47 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.244 and have a FIP of 4.01 as a team on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,289 strikeouts against 417 bases on balls). They come in at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,176.

Sitting with 132 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 70 holds and 23 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 62 save opportunities and they have recorded 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 153 times in high leverage situations and also on 116 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.3% out of their 168 inherited runners. They rank 17th in the league with a save percentage of 62.9%, and they have sent 461 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

In 11,523 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (15th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 106 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in pro baseball). The Phillies have 1,229 assists, 82 errors and have accounted for 3,841 putouts so far this season.

Sanchez (5-5 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.14 ERA and has conceded 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.27 and he has faced 556 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 61 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.214 and a FIP of 4.2. In his pro baseball career, Sanchez has surrendered 124 base knocks while he has tallied 121 K's in 132 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-218)

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