Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-148) Philadelphia (+124)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (78-64) will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (93-49) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Braves at -148 while the Phillies are coming in at +124. The total is 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Max Fried and Zack Wheeler.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are recording 5.8 runs per outing, which puts them at 1st in the league. They have tallied 826 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .344. The Braves have tallied 243 doubles as a unit and have knocked 273 balls out of the park. They have accrued 799 runs batted in and 1,344 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate sits at .276. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .501 and have struck out 1,123 times, while taking a walk on 476 occasions.

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The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.86 on the season (4th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,335 hitters. Braves pitchers have surrendered 152 long balls and 588 runs (4th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 452 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.94 as a unit on the year. Atlanta has given up 1,148 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and 541 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.27.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 113 times as well as having 150 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 89 holds this year (4th in the league). The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 69.2% and has come into the game in 155 save situations. They have earned 45 saves so far this year and have missed out on 20 of their 65 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 168 base runners for the season with 30.4% of those runners crossed the plate. The Braves have sent 465 relievers to the hill this season.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 3,783 putouts this year, as well as 1,161 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 15th in professional baseball, and have a total of 121 double plays. The Braves have converted 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,349 innings on the field, which ranks them 21st in professional baseball.

Fried (61-26 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.27 and he has faced 2,858 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 630 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 186 walks. His ERA is 3.05 (237 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.167. Fried has pitched in 699 frames and is sitting with 684 K's during his MLB career.

Philadelphia has recorded 188 home runs this year to go along with 670 RBIs. They have 265 doubles, while walking 472 times as well as scoring 692 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled an OBP of .330 as well as a team batting average of .259 on the year. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .440 and they are recording 4.87 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,277 occasions (9th in MLB) and have totaled 1,261 hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.244 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.97 as a squad so far this season. They are currently ranked 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,158. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 621 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.00 (560 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.10 (1,274 strikeouts against 411 free passes). They have given up 160 long balls and they give up 4.43 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the contest in 61 save chances and they have tallied 38 saves. They sit at 17th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.3%, and they have dispatched 454 relievers to the hill this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations and on 114 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 35.9% out of 167 inherited base runners. Sitting with 128 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 67 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 104 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (20th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 1,212 assists, 78 errors and have a tally of 3,784 putouts on the season. Out of their 11,352 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (15th in MLB).

Wheeler (85-63 mark in his career) has a 3.43 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.47 and he has faced 5,619 hitters during his career. He has given up 517 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.183 and a FIP of 3.3. Thus far in his career, Wheeler has given up 1,207 base hits while he has earned 1,381 K's in 1,356 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-148)

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