Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, June 22, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-105) Philadelphia (-115)

The Philadelphia Phillies (38-35) will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (47-26) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Braves at -105 while the Phillies are sitting at -115. The total is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Bryce Elder and Taijuan Walker.

The Braves have compiled 128 doubles as a team and have hit 128 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging % of .479 and have been called out on strikes 604 times, while taking a walk on 247 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 5.5 runs per contest, which is 3rd in the league. They have accumulated 385 RBI's in addition to 671 hits for the season, while their batting average is sitting at .269. They have accounted for 399 runs and have an on-base percentage of .339.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.28. Braves pitchers have given up 77 long balls in addition to 297 runs (6th in the league). Atlanta has given up 598 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 270 earned runs. The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.74 for the season (4th in the league), and the staff has rung up 692 batters. They have walked 232 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a squad for the season.

Braves relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 61 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 49 holds this season (3rd in MLB). The Braves bullpen have recorded a save rate of 62.2% and has come into the game in 87 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves so far this year and have blown 14 of their 37 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 89 base runners on the season with 33.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Braves have sent 242 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Braves have transformed 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,844 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 26th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 1,948 putouts so far this season, as well as 612 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which is 26th in MLB, and they have turned 63 double plays.

Elder has taken the mound for 137 innings and is sitting with 116 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 2.82 (43 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.182. He has given up 117 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 45 walks. Elder (7-5 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.80 while facing 561 opposing batters in the majors.

The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .419 and they average 4.41 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have tallied 137 doubles, while taking a walk 224 times as well as recording 322 runs. Philadelphia has knocked in 78 home runs so far this season as well as 307 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 670 occasions (8th in the league) and have earned 650 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated a team OBP of .322 and a batting average of .259 on the campaign.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 337 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.32 (308 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 77 home runs and they relinquish 4.73 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.274 in addition to having a FIP of 3.93 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.30 (663 strikeouts against 220 free passes). They have a ranking of 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 597.

With 66 save situations, the Phillies have 37 holds and 8 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 29 save chances and they have walked away with 21 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 74 times in high leverage situations and also on 60 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 37.6% out of 93 inherited base runners. They sit at 4th in MLB holding a save rate of 72.4%, and they have dispatched 245 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

In 5,772 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (17th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 39 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (12th in the majors). The Phillies have accrued 603 assists, 34 errors and have earned 1,924 putouts over the course of the season.

Walker (61-53 career win-loss mark) has a 3.92 ERA while surrendering 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has faced 4,092 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 425 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.230 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. Thus far in his career, Walker has given up 885 base hits while he has accumulated 872 strikeouts in 975 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-105)

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