Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+115) Philadelphia (-135)

The Philadelphia Phillies (38-34) will compete against the Atlanta Braves (46-26) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Atlanta at +115 while Philadelphia is coming in at -135. The total is set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are AJ Smith-Shawver and Aaron Nola.

Atlanta is slugging .479 and have been called out on strikes 595 times, while taking a walk on 244 occasions. They have recorded 381 runs batted in and 661 hits for the season, and their batting average comes in at .269. The Braves have earned 127 doubles as a unit and have hit 126 baseballs out of the park. They have 395 runs while holding a team OBP of .339. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are earning 5.5 runs per outing, which is 3rd in the league.

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The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.77 on the season (4th in baseball), and they have rung up 680 batters. Braves pitchers have conceded 77 home runs and also 295 runs (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 231 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a squad on the campaign. Atlanta has conceded 587 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 268 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28.

The Braves have dispatched 239 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 89 runners so far this season with 33.7% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 22 saves for the year and have missed out on 14 of their 36 save chances. The Braves relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.1% and stepped onto the hill in 84 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 47 holds for the season (4th in MLB). Braves pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 61 times and also have had 79 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have converted 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,763 innings, which has them sitting 24th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 1,921 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 605 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them ranked 26th in MLB, and they have twisted 62 double plays.

Smith-Shawver (1-0 career record) has a FIP of 4.48 while going up against 52 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 9 base hits (6.1 hits per nine innings) and has 4 free passes. His earned run average is 2.03 (3 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 0.975. Smith-Shawver has taken the hill for 13 innings and has 11 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .420 and they are recording 4.44 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have 135 doubles, while walking 223 times and putting up 320 runs. Philadelphia has accumulated 78 home runs so far this season as well as 305 runs batted in. They have struck out on 658 occasions (8th in MLB) and have a total of 639 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .258 on the campaign.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.272 and have a FIP of 3.91 as a team on the year. They come in at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 587. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 333 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.33 (304 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.30 (654 strikeouts vs 217 bases on balls). They have surrendered 75 long balls and they give up 4.74 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).

With 66 save situations, the Phillies have earned 37 holds and 8 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 29 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 73 times in high leverage situations in addition to 60 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 37.6% out of their 93 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 72.4%, and they have dispatched 242 relievers onto the diamond for the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 39 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 595 assists, 34 errors and have a tally of 1,897 putouts on the campaign. In their 5,691 innings on the field, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (17th in the majors).

Nola (84-67 career mark) holds a 3.68 ERA while surrendering 7.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.21 and he has faced 5,403 batters so far in his career. He has conceded 541 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.123 and a FIP of 3.3. During his career, Nola has allowed 1,136 hits and he has 1,473 strikeouts in 1,323 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+115)

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