Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Thursday, October 12, 2023
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
TV: TBS
Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-110) Philadelphia (-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (104-58) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The line on this contest has Atlanta at -110 while Philadelphia is priced at -110. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Spencer Strider and Ranger Suarez.
Atlanta has a slugging rate of .501 and have been rung up 1,289 times, while taking a walk on 538 occasions. They have accumulated 916 runs batted in as well as 1,543 hits this year, and their batting average is at .276. The Braves have recorded 293 two-baggers as a team and have hit 307 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 947 runs and have an OBP of .344. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 5.9 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in baseball.
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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Braves pitchers have conceded 187 home runs and 716 runs in total (13th in the league). Atlanta has allowed 1,341 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 662 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.14 on the campaign (15th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,516 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 534 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.10 as a team on the year.
The Braves relievers have a save rate of 66.7% and has come into the game in 181 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 188 runners so far this year and 31.4% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 129 times in addition to having 171 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 532 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 102 holds on the year (5th in baseball). They have accumulated 52 saves so far this year and have not converted 26 out of their 78 chances to save the game.
The Braves have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,960 innings on the diamond, ranking them 22nd in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have 4,320 putouts for the season, as well as 1,339 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 16th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 134 double plays.
Strider has pitched in 320 frames and is sitting with 483 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.37 (120 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.054. He has given up 234 base knocks (6.6 hits per nine innings) and has 104 walks. Strider (32-10 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 2.48 while he has gone up against 1,300 opposing batters in the majors.
Philadelphia has a total of 220 home runs so far this year and 771 RBIs. They have put up 291 doubles, while taking a walk 539 times as well as notching 796 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .256 over the course of the season. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .438 and they average 4.91 runs per game (8th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,481 occasions (8th in the league) and have recorded 1,417 hits.
The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 715 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 185 long balls and they allow 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.239 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a unit this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts vs 470 free passes). They are currently ranked 9th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,317.
Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of 182 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with runners on. With 158 save situations, the Phillies have 87 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. They are currently ranked 14th in baseball with a save rate of 63.4%, and they have dispatched 523 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Philadelphia has had relievers step onto the mound in 71 save opportunities and they have walked away with 45 saves.
The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 117 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,385 assists, 92 errors and have 4,327 putouts over the course of the season. In their 12,981 innings on the diamond, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (13th in professional baseball).
Suarez (29-21 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.41 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and he has faced 1,920 batters thus far in his career. He has conceded 172 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.311 and having a FIP of 3.7. So far in his pro baseball career, Suarez has given up 434 base knocks and he has 409 K's in 454 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-110)
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Additional Resources:
Philadelphia Phillies - Twitter
Atlanta Braves - Twitter