Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-110) Philadelphia (-110)

The Atlanta Braves (104-58) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72). The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at -110 and Philadelphia is at -110. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Bryce Elder and Aaron Nola.

The Braves have recorded 293 doubles as a unit and have knocked 307 balls out of the stadium. Atlanta has a slugging % of .501 and have been rung up 1,289 times, while drawing a walk on 538 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 5.9 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in the league. They have recorded 916 RBI's in addition to 1,543 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate is at .276. They have accounted for 947 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .344.

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The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.14 on the year (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,516 hitters. Braves pitchers have conceded 187 long balls and 716 total runs (13th in MLB). They have walked 534 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.10 as a unit so far this year. Atlanta has given up 1,341 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 662 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.84 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Braves bullpen have a save rate of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 181 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 188 base runners so far this season and 31.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 129 times in addition to having 171 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 532 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 102 holds this year (5th in baseball). They have earned 52 saves for the season and have blown 26 of their 78 save opportunities.

The Braves have turned 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,960 innings, which has them sitting at 22nd in the majors. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 4,320 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,339 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them sitting 16th in the majors, and have earned 134 double plays.

Elder has thrown 228 innings and has racked up 175 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.66 (93 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.268. He has surrendered 204 base knocks (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 86 walks. Elder (14-8 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.27 and he has faced 959 hitters in the major leagues.

The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .438 and they are recording 4.91 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have notched 291 two-baggers, while walking 539 times and notching 796 runs. Philadelphia has hit 220 home runs so far this year as well as 771 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,481 instances (8th in MLB) and have recorded 1,417 base knocks. The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled an on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .256 for the season.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.239 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.00 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts vs 470 free passes). They rank 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,317. They have conceded 185 homers and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 715 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 158 save situations, the Phillies have earned 87 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 71 save chances and they have tallied 45 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 181 times in high leverage situations and on 131 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% of 182 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 14th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.4%, and they have sent 523 relievers to the hill on the year.

In their 12,981 innings played, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (13th in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 117 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (21st in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,385 assists, 92 errors and have a tally of 4,327 putouts during this campaign.

During his career, Nola has conceded 1,234 hits while accumulating 1,582 strikeouts in 1,422 innings pitched. Nola (90-71 career record) is the owner of a 3.72 ERA while conceding 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 588 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.129 and a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.26 and he has gone up against 5,815 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-110)

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