Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-218) New York (+180)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (52-62) will meet the Atlanta Braves (72-41) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Braves at -218 and the Mets are priced at +180. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Spencer Strider and Jose Quintana.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .499 and have struck out 926 times, while taking a walk on 380 occasions. They have accrued 623 RBI's in addition to 1,054 hits this season, and their batting average sits at .273. The Braves have compiled 196 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 217 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 644 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .342. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 5.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 2nd in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.28. Braves pitchers have conceded 124 home runs in addition to 481 runs in total (7th in MLB). Atlanta has given up 927 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 440 earned runs. The Braves have a team earned run average of 3.95 on the campaign (9th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,050 batters. They have walked 359 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a team on the season.

The Braves have dispatched 378 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 142 runners on the campaign and 29.6% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 37 saves so far this season and have missed out on 20 of 57 chances to save the game. The Braves bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 64.9% and stepped onto the hill in 133 save situations. The relievers have earned 75 holds so far this season (4th in the league). Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 96 times and also have had 125 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 3,006 putouts this year, in addition to 937 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and have a total of 94 double plays. The Braves have converted 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,018 innings, which has them ranked 24th in pro baseball.

Strider has thrown 266 innings and has accumulated 413 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 3.31 (98 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.063. He has given up 196 base knocks (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 87 walks. Strider (24-9 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.45 while he has gone up against 1,082 opposing hitters in the majors.

New York has a total of 143 HRs for the season and 484 runs batted in. They have recorded 153 doubles, while taking a walk 375 times and scoring 497 runs. The New York Mets have a team on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .237 over the course of the season. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they average 4.36 runs per contest (19th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 898 instances (27th in baseball) and have totaled 890 base knocks.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 523 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.37 (482 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 140 home runs and they allow 4.74 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.364 in addition to having a FIP of 4.56 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (971 strikeouts against 414 bases on balls). They rank 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 941.

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.7% out of 165 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 109 times in high leverage situations and also on 111 occasions with base runners. With 109 save situations, the Mets have 65 holds and also 14 blown saves. They rank 13th in the league with a save percentage of 65.0%, and they have sent 375 relievers onto the diamond on the season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 40 save opportunities and they have earned 26 saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 101 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 988 assists, 61 errors and have accumulated 2,980 putouts during this campaign. In 8,940 innings played, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (16th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Quintana has surrendered 1,722 hits while he has tallied 1,548 punch outs in 1,747 innings. Quintana (89-90 career win-loss record) has a 3.74 earned run average while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 727 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.278 and having a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.03 and he has faced 7,319 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+180)

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