Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

The New York Mets (15-12) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (18-9) at Citi Field on Sunday. The expected starting pitchers are Charlie Morton and Jose Butto.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 8th in baseball. They have earned 138 runs and have an on-base percentage of .335. The Braves have hit 46 doubles as a squad and have knocked 41 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 131 runs batted in and 231 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average is at .255. Atlanta has a slugging % of .448 and have struck out 254 times, while being walked on 102 occasions.

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The Braves have a team ERA of 3.37 for the season (4th in the league), and they have struck out 251 hitters. Braves pitchers have given up 20 home runs and 95 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 83 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.50 as a team this season. Atlanta has yielded 211 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 89 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.02 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Braves relief pitchers have a save rate of 53.8% and has come into the game in 33 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 35 base runners on the campaign with 40.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. Braves pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 24 times and also have had 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 89 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen have recorded 20 holds over the course of the season (6th in the league). They have accumulated 7 saves for the season and have blown 6 of their 13 save chances.

The Braves have turned 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,142 innings on the field, ranking them 24th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 714 putouts for the season, as well as 227 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which puts them in 21st in the majors, and they have twisted 25 double plays.

Morton has taken the ball for 1,826 frames and has racked up 1,723 strikeouts so far in his career. Morton (119-103 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.78 while he has faced 7,813 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.01 (814 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.296. He has given up 1,716 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 651 free passes.

New York has accumulated 27 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 118 runs batted in. They have hit 42 doubles, while taking a walk 109 times as well as notching 122 runs. The New York Mets have earned a team on-base percentage of .332 in addition to a batting average of .240 on the season. The Mets have a team SLG% of .384 and they average 4.52 runs per game (16th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 207 instances (24th in MLB) and have tallied 213 base hits.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.361 in addition to having a FIP of 5.05 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (230 strikeouts against 107 free passes). They rank 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 210. They have conceded 38 long balls and they relinquish 4.40 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 114 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.36 (113 earned runs conceded).

With 35 save situations, the Mets have accrued 25 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have recorded 8 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 28 times in high leverage situations in addition to 24 occasions with runners on base. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 24.3% of 37 inherited base runners. They rank 5th in baseball with a save rate of 80.0%, and they have sent 86 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The New York Mets have gotten 25 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (12th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 227 assists, 11 errors and have amassed 699 putouts this season. In 2,097 innings on the field, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (7th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Butto has surrendered 18 base hits while he has tallied 8 K's in 13 frames. He has allowed a total of 10 ER's while holding a WHIP of 2.195 and being the owner of a FIP of 7.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 0.67 and he has gone up against 70 batters in his MLB career. Butto (0-1 career mark) is the owner of a 6.59 ERA and has given up 11.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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