Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-145) New York (+125)

The Atlanta Braves (17-9) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Saturday where they will compete against the New York Mets (15-11). The odds on this game have the Braves at -145 and the Mets are priced at +125. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Spencer Strider and Tylor Megill.

The Braves have hit 45 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 40 baseballs out of the stadium. Atlanta is slugging .448 and have struck out 248 times, while being walked on 101 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are earning 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in baseball. They have recorded 127 RBI's as well as 226 hits so far this season, while their batting average is at .255. They have accumulated 134 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .336.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.98 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have conceded 20 home runs and 95 runs (6th in MLB). Atlanta has surrendered 208 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 89 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.44 so far this season (5th in the league), and the staff has struck out 244 batters. They have walked 82 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.56 as a team so far this year.

The Braves have sent 89 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 35 runners on the year and 40.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have earned 7 saves on the campaign and have blown 6 of 13 save opportunities. The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 53.8% and stepped onto the hill in 33 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 20 holds over the course of the season (6th in MLB). Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 24 times as well as having 28 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have transformed 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,097 innings, which has them sitting at 22nd in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 699 putouts this year, as well as 223 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which is 21st in professional baseball, and have a total of 25 double plays.

Strider has taken the ball for 164 innings and is sitting with 251 punch outs thus far in his career. Strider (15-5 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 1.92 while he has faced 652 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 2.52 (46 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.970. He has surrendered 102 base hits (5.6 hits per nine innings) with 57 walks.

The New York Mets have compiled a team on-base percentage of .334 in addition to a team batting average of .242 so far this season. They have been rung up on 200 occasions (25th in MLB) and are sitting with 210 hits. New York has tallied 27 HRs on the season and 118 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .388 and they score 4.69 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have put up 42 two-baggers, while walking 108 times and scoring 122 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.364 and have a FIP of 5.08 as a unit for the season. They are sitting at 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 205. The New York pitching staff have given up 110 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.30 (109 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (224 strikeouts against 106 free passes). They have conceded 37 long balls and they relinquish 4.34 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 10 save opportunities and they have converted 8 saves. They are ranked 4th in MLB with a save rate of 80.0%, and they have sent 86 relief pitchers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 28 times in high leverage situations and on 24 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 24.3% of 37 inherited runners. Sitting with 35 save situations, the Mets have accrued 25 holds in addition to 2 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 25 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (15th in the majors). The Mets have 220 assists, 11 errors and have notched a total of 684 putouts for the season. Out of their 2,052 innings on the field, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (7th in professional baseball).

Megill (11-9 mark in his career) has a 4.61 ERA while giving up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.25 and he has gone up against 689 hitters so far in his career. He has conceded 83 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 4.6. In his career, Megill has given up 159 base hits while totaling 169 K's in 162 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-145)

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