Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

The Atlanta Braves (17-8) are en route to Citi Field on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (14-11). The expected starting pitchers are Max Fried and David Peterson.

Atlanta is slugging .459 and have been called out on strikes 238 times, while being walked on 98 occasions. They have tallied 123 runs batted in in addition to 221 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate sits at .259. The Braves have tallied 45 doubles as a squad and have knocked 40 balls out of the stadium. They have 130 runs scored and have an OBP of .340. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 7th in baseball.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have given up 20 home runs and 90 total runs (3rd in baseball). Atlanta has conceded 197 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 84 earned runs. The Braves have a team earned run average of 3.38 this season (4th in the league), and they have rung up 230 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 80 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.65 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Braves relievers have a save rate of 58.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 32 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 33 runners this season and 36.4% of those runners crossed the plate. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 23 times as well as having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 83 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 20 holds on the season (6th in MLB). They have compiled 7 saves on the year and have missed out on 5 of 12 save chances.

The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 672 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 217 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which has them sitting 23rd in professional baseball, and have a total of 24 double plays. The Braves have transformed 68.6% of balls in play into outs in their 2,016 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 19th in the majors.

Fried has thrown 647 innings and has accumulated 628 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Fried (55-25 career record) holds a FIP of 3.28 while he has faced 2,644 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.03 (218 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.162. He has given up 578 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 174 free passes.

The New York Mets hold an on-base percentage of .329 and a batting average of .234 this season. They have struck out on 195 occasions (27th in the league) and have totaled 194 hits. New York has a total of 26 HRs on the season to go along with 109 RBIs. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .378 and they tally 4.52 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have notched 39 doubles, while taking a walk 105 times as well as recording 113 runs.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.374 and have a FIP of 5.01 as a squad for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (217 strikeouts vs 104 walks). They come in at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 197. They have given up 35 long balls and they allow 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have allowed 102 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.19 (102 earned runs yielded).

With 32 save situations, the Mets have accrued 24 holds and 1 blown save. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 8 save chances and they have walked away with 7 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 22 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 12.5% of 32 inherited base runners. They are ranked 2nd in baseball with a save percentage of 87.5%, and they have dispatched 83 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

In 1,971 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (7th in MLB). The New York Mets have gotten 25 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (10th in professional baseball). The Mets have racked up 215 assists, 10 errors and have accumulated 657 putouts during this campaign.

Peterson (16-16 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.58 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.41 and he has faced 1,063 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 126 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.357 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. In his career, Peterson has surrendered 226 base knocks and he has 265 strikeouts in 247 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York

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