Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Atlanta Braves (96-50) are hitting the road to loanDepot park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Miami Marlins (75-72). The starting pitchers are Jared Shuster and Jesus Luzardo.

The Braves have hit 253 two-baggers as a team and have hit 282 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging % of .501 and have struck out 1,157 times, while drawing a walk on 488 occasions. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are recording 5.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 1st in MLB. They have compiled 824 RBI's and 1,382 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is .275. They have earned a total of 852 runs scored and have an OBP of .343.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. Braves pitchers have surrendered 159 long balls and also 610 runs (5th in baseball). Atlanta has allowed 1,181 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 563 earned runs. The Braves have a team earned run average of 3.90 this season (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,387 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 467 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.94 as a team this season.

The Braves have dispatched 479 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 171 base runners so far this season and 30.4% of those runners crossed the plate. They have 48 saves on the year and have not converted 22 out of their 70 save chances. The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 68.6% and has come into the game in 164 save situations. The bullpen have 93 holds on the year (4th in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 117 times and also have had 156 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have turned 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of 11,682 innings, which has them sitting 20th in the majors. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 3,894 putouts this year, in addition to 1,182 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which ranks 16th in MLB, and they have twisted 123 double plays.

Shuster has thrown 49 innings and has earned 28 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Shuster (4-3 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.95 and he has gone up against 213 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.26 (29 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.409. He has surrendered 46 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 24 free passes.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they earn 4.03 runs per game (27th in the league). They have tallied 234 two-baggers, while taking a walk 371 times and scoring 593 runs. Miami has 147 home runs so far this year to go along with 564 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,164 instances (25th in the league) and have totaled 1,279 base hits. The Miami Marlins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .311 and a batting average of .256 for the season.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.285 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a staff over the course of the season. They have a ranking of 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,203. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 653 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.19 (607 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (1,359 strikeouts against 472 bases on balls). They have yielded 171 long balls and they relinquish 4.51 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.3% of 205 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 186 times in high leverage situations in addition to 145 occasions with runners on. With 151 save situations, the Marlins have earned 85 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. They sit at 22nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 58.5%, and they have sent 486 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have earned 38 saves.

In their 11,730 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (22nd in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 137 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 1,283 assists, 88 errors and have a total of 3,910 putouts on the season.

Luzardo (22-27 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.30 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and he has gone up against 1,800 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 204 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.269 and a FIP of 4.0. In his MLB career, Luzardo has allowed 390 base knocks while he has tallied 479 strikeouts in 427 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta

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