Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 15, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Atlanta Braves (96-50) are hitting the road to loanDepot park on Friday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (75-71). The pitchers who are expected to start will be Bryce Elder and Johnny Cueto.

The Braves have earned 253 doubles as a unit and have knocked 282 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging % of .501 and have been called out on strikes 1,157 times, while being walked on 488 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 5.8 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in the league. They have accounted for 824 RBI's as well as 1,382 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .275. They have racked up 852 runs while holding a team OBP of .343.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.97 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27. Braves pitchers have surrendered 159 home runs and 610 runs (6th in the league). Atlanta has surrendered 1,181 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and 563 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.90 so far this year (5th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,387 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 467 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.94 as a team so far this year.

The Braves relief pitchers have a save rate of 68.6% and has come into the game in 164 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 171 base runners this year with 30.4% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 117 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 479 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen are sitting with 93 holds for the season (4th in MLB). They have recorded 48 saves so far this year and have missed out on 22 of their 70 save opportunities.

The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 3,894 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,182 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them ranked 16th in the majors, and they have twisted 123 double plays. The Braves have converted 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,682 innings, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB.

Elder has pitched in 216 innings and has racked up 167 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Elder (14-8 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.10 while he has gone up against 895 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.33 (80 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.211. He has given up 185 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 77 walks.

The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .312 and a team batting average of .257 this year. They have been rung up on 1,156 occasions (26th in MLB) and have 1,273 base hits. Miami has accumulated 147 home runs this season and 562 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .401 and they are scoring 4.05 runs per game (27th in baseball). They have hit 233 doubles, while walking 370 times and scoring 591 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 649 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.19 (603 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 171 homers and they allow 4.51 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.286 and have a FIP of 4.12 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (1,349 strikeouts vs 470 free passes). They sit at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,196.

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.6% out of their 203 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 186 times in high leverage situations in addition to 143 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 151 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 85 holds and 27 blown saves. They sit at 22nd in the league holding a save percentage of 58.5%, and they have sent 482 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Miami has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have tallied 38 saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 136 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 1,279 assists, 88 errors and have a tally of 3,886 putouts so far this season. Out of their 11,658 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (22nd in MLB).

During his pro baseball career, Cueto has surrendered 2,066 base knocks while he has earned 1,845 punch outs in 2,233 innings. He has conceded 867 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.208 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and he has gone up against 9,273 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Cueto (144-111 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.49 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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