Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, May 4, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-140) Miami (+120)

loanDepot park is the site where the Miami Marlins (16-14) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (20-10) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has Atlanta at -140 while Miami is coming in at +120. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Max Fried and Jesus Luzardo.

The Braves have hit 53 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 46 balls out of the stadium. Atlanta is slugging .450 and have been rung up 280 times, while taking a walk on 118 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 5.2 runs/g, which has them at 8th in the league. They have recorded 148 runs batted in as well as 255 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is .254. They have tallied 156 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .338.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23. Braves pitchers have relinquished 24 long balls in addition to 108 total runs (3rd in the league). Atlanta has yielded 233 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 102 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.48 for the year (6th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 280 hitters. They have walked 92 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.62 as a squad over the course of the season.

Braves pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 27 times as well as having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 24 holds for the year (5th in baseball). The Braves bullpen have earned a save percentage of 53.3% and has entered the game in 39 save situations. They have tallied 8 saves this season and have not converted 7 out of their 15 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 40 runners for the year and 40.0% of those runners crossed the plate. The Braves have sent 98 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 792 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 248 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which puts them in 26th in the majors, and have accumulated 27 double plays. The Braves have turned 68.2% of balls in play into outs out of 2,376 innings, which has them sitting at 21st in professional baseball.

Fried has taken the ball for 652 innings and is sitting with 635 K's during his pro baseball career. Fried (56-25 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.27 and he has gone up against 2,663 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.01 (218 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.159. He has conceded 581 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 175 free passes.

The Miami Marlins hold an on-base percentage of .306 and a batting average of .246 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 267 occasions (14th in baseball) and have a total of 242 hits. Miami has knocked in 26 HRs this season to go along with 95 RBIs. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .375 and they are recording 3.30 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have put up 43 two-baggers, while walking 77 times as well as scoring 99 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.335 and have a FIP of 4.63 as a team for the season. They come in at 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 247. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 140 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.47 (132 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (258 strikeouts vs 108 free passes). They have allowed 37 homers and they relinquish 4.74 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league).

Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have come away with 8 saves. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball with a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 99 relievers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 32 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 21.2% out of 52 inherited runners. With 24 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 14 holds and also 2 blown saves.

In their 2,394 innings played, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (16th in professional baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 27 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 269 assists, 18 errors and are sitting with 798 putouts for the year.

Luzardo (15-19 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.47 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.90 and he has gone up against 1,272 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 149 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.285 and having a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Luzardo has allowed 272 hits while he has earned 331 strikeouts in 300 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-140)

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