Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-140) Miami (+120)

loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (16-13) will play the Atlanta Braves (19-10) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Braves at -140 and the Marlins are sitting at +120. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Kyle Wright and Braxton Garrett.

The Braves have hit 50 doubles as a team and have hit 45 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .449 and have been rung up 270 times, while drawing a walk on 109 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which is 8th in MLB. They have 143 RBI's as well as 246 base knocks this year, and their team batting average sits at .253. They have racked up 150 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .333.

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The Braves have an earned run average of 3.60 for the season (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 271 hitters. Braves pitchers have conceded 24 home runs in addition to 108 total runs (5th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 90 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.70 as a unit for the season. Atlanta has allowed 229 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 102 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.01 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Braves bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 53.3% and has entered the game in 39 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 40 base runners over the course of the season with 40.0% of them ended up scoring. Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 27 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 96 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have accumulated 24 holds over the course of the season (5th in baseball). They have tallied 8 saves so far this season and have missed out on 7 of 15 chances to get a save.

The Atlanta Braves have 765 putouts for the season, as well as 238 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which has them ranked 25th in MLB, and they have twisted 26 double plays. The Braves have turned 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,295 innings, ranking them 23rd in MLB.

Wright (23-14 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.45 while he has gone up against 1,141 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 243 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 110 walks. His earned run average is 4.18 (124 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.322. Wright has thrown 267 innings and is sitting with 250 strikeouts during his career.

Miami has tallied 26 long balls on the campaign to go along with 95 RBIs. They have put up 42 doubles, while taking a walk 75 times as well as recording 99 runs. The Miami Marlins have compiled an OBP of .310 in addition to a batting average of .249 for the year. The Marlins have a SLG% of .382 and they score 3.41 runs per contest (28th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 258 instances (14th in the league) and have 238 base knocks.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.311 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.60 as a pitching staff for the season. They sit at 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 238. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 134 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.41 (126 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (248 strikeouts vs 99 free passes). They have surrendered 36 long balls and they relinquish 4.69 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

Sitting with 24 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 14 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 10 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 32 times in high leverage situations in addition to 27 occasions with base runners. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.4% of 49 inherited base runners. They rank 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 95 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in pro baseball). The Marlins have 262 assists, 18 errors and have earned a total of 771 putouts so far this season. In their 2,313 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (15th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Garrett has allowed 161 base knocks and he has 149 K's in 151 innings pitched. Garrett (6-10 record in his career) holds a 3.86 ERA and has conceded 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 65 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.404 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 and he has faced 659 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-140)

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