Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/2/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+110) Miami (-130)

loanDepot park is the location where the Miami Marlins (16-13) will attempt to defeat the Atlanta Braves (18-9) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Braves at +110 while the Marlins are opening at -130. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Bryce Elder and Sandy Alcantara.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 5.1 runs per contest, which is 7th in baseball. They have a total of 138 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .335. The Braves have hit 46 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 41 balls out of the park. They have tallied 131 RBI's in addition to 231 hits for the year, and their batting average is sitting at .255. Atlanta is slugging .448 and have been called out on strikes 254 times, while taking a walk on 102 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have given up 20 home runs in addition to 95 total runs (2nd in baseball). Atlanta has relinquished 211 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 89 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.37 this year (3rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 251 hitters. They have walked 83 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.54 as a team this season.

The Braves relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 53.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 33 save situations. The relievers have inherited 35 base runners so far this year with 40.0% of those runners crossed home plate. Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 24 times in addition to having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 89 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have earned 20 holds on the campaign (7th in the league). They have accumulated 7 saves for the year and have blown 6 of their 13 chances to save the game.

The Braves have converted 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,142 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 714 putouts on the year, as well as 227 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which is 23rd in baseball, and have a total of 25 double plays.

Elder has taken the hill for 83 frames and has accumulated 73 strikeouts thus far in his career. Elder (4-4 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.88 while he has faced 346 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.82 (26 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.229. He has conceded 70 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 32 free passes.

The Miami Marlins have tallied an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .249 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 258 occasions (13th in the league) and have totaled 238 base hits. Miami has hit 26 home runs for the year as well as 95 RBIs. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .382 and they score 3.41 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have hit 42 two-baggers, while taking a walk 75 times and scoring 99 runs.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.311 with a FIP of 4.60 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (248 strikeouts vs 99 bases on balls). They are sitting at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 238. They have surrendered 36 home runs and they relinquish 4.69 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have allowed 134 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.41 (126 earned runs relinquished).

Miami has had relief pitchers enter the game in 10 save opportunities and they have converted 8 saves. They rank 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have sent 95 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 32 times in high leverage situations in addition to 27 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.4% out of their 49 inherited runners. Sitting with 24 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 14 holds in addition to 2 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 24 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (24th in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 262 assists, 18 errors and have earned 771 putouts on the season. In 2,313 innings played, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (14th in baseball).

Alcantara (35-45 career record) holds a 3.18 ERA and has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and he has faced 3,043 hitters so far in his career. He has allowed 264 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.143 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. So far in his career, Alcantara has allowed 619 hits while he has accumulated 664 strikeouts in 746 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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