Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, July 3, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (40-42) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (55-27) on Monday. The expected starting pitchers are Bryce Elder and Gavin Williams.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 5.7 runs per game, which ranks them 2nd in MLB. They have tallied 464 runs and have an on-base percentage of .342. The Braves have accrued 146 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 155 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 448 RBI's and 764 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average sits at .272. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .495 and have struck out 667 times, while drawing a walk on 277 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Braves pitchers have allowed 89 long balls and 328 runs in total (3rd in the league). Atlanta has allowed 662 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 299 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 3.68 this year (5th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 781 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 260 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.94 as a team for the season.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 70 times as well as having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 59 holds this year (3rd in baseball). The Braves bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 65.9% and stepped onto the hill in 101 save situations. They have earned 27 saves on the season and have blown 14 of their 41 save chances. The relievers have inherited 103 base runners on the campaign with 31.1% of them ended up scoring. The Braves have sent 273 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 2,191 putouts on the year, as well as 671 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which ranks 27th in the majors, and have a total of 70 double plays. The Braves have turned 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,573 innings, which ranks them 21st in professional baseball.

Elder has thrown 150 innings and has racked up 126 K's during his career. Elder (8-5 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.78 while facing 613 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.70 (45 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.167. He has surrendered 124 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 51 free passes.

The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .373 and they tally 4.00 runs per outing (27th in MLB). They have hit 149 doubles, while walking 250 times as well as putting up 328 runs. Cleveland has recorded 54 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 303 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 591 occasions (29th in the league) and have 691 base knocks. The Cleveland Guardians have tallied an on-base percentage of .313 as well as a team batting average of .248 so far this season.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.258 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a staff on the campaign. They sit at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 674. The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 338 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.78 (309 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (647 strikeouts vs 252 free passes). They have yielded 80 dingers and they surrender 4.13 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball).

Sitting with 89 save situations, the Guardians have tallied 45 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers enter the game in 43 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 110 times in high leverage situations and also on 71 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 21.1% out of 90 inherited base runners. They are ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 62.8%, and they have sent 265 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

In 6,627 innings played, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (6th in pro baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 51 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in baseball). The Guardians have accrued 751 assists, 39 errors and have 2,209 putouts for the year.

During his MLB career, Williams has allowed 5 base knocks while earning 10 strikeouts in 12 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 4 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.711 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 46 batters during his MLB career. Williams (0-0 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 2.84 earned run average and has allowed 3.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland

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