Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/25/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Sunday, June 25, 2023
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-190) Cincinnati (+160)
Great American Ball Park is the site where the Cincinnati Reds (41-35) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (48-27) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Braves at -190 while the Reds are sitting at +160. The total is 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Charlie Morton and Ben Lively.
The Braves have accrued 132 doubles as a team and have hit 134 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .481 and have been called out on strikes 623 times, while being walked on 254 occasions. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are notching 5.5 runs/g, which puts them at 3rd in MLB. They have accrued 398 runs batted in in addition to 693 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .270. They have racked up 414 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .339.
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The Braves have an ERA of 3.79 this year (7th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 712 hitters. Braves pitchers have allowed 81 home runs and 309 total runs (7th in baseball). They have walked 241 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.96 as a unit over the course of the season. Atlanta has given up 611 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 281 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28.
The Braves have sent 249 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 92 runners so far this year and 32.6% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 23 saves on the year and have missed out on 14 out of their 37 chances to get a save. The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 62.2% and has entered the game in 87 save situations. The bullpen have earned 49 holds over the course of the season (3rd in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 64 times in addition to having 82 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Braves have turned 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,006 innings on the field, which has them sitting 20th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have 2,002 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 624 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 22nd in the majors, and have a total of 64 double plays.
Morton has taken the hill for 1,877 frames and has racked up 1,790 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 4.02 (838 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.301. He has given up 1,767 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 675 walks. Morton (122-107 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.77 while he has faced 8,039 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.
The Reds have a slugging percentage of .408 and they score 4.91 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They have hit 137 two-baggers, while taking a walk 276 times as well as putting up 373 runs. Cincinnati has a total of 73 long balls so far this season and 359 runs batted in. They have struck out on 671 occasions (12th in MLB) and are sitting with 657 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .335 as well as a batting average of .256 on the campaign.
The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 386 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.93 (370 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 102 long balls and they relinquish 5.15 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.444 in addition to having a FIP of 4.68 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (659 strikeouts against 277 free passes). They are sitting at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 698.
Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.5% out of their 144 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 109 times in high leverage situations and also on 99 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 80 save situations, the Reds have accrued 40 holds and also 10 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league with a save rate of 73.7%, and they have dispatched 271 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 38 save chances and they have walked away with 28 saves.
The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 57 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in pro baseball). The Reds have accrued 604 assists, 35 errors and have notched a total of 2,026 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 6,078 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.5% (27th in professional baseball).
During his MLB career, Lively has surrendered 179 base hits while he has accumulated 125 K's in 166 innings. Lively (8-14 career mark) has a 4.61 ERA while conceding 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 85 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.392 and having a FIP of 5.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.40 and he has gone up against 718 opposing hitters in his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+160)
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Additional Resources:
Cincinnati Reds - Twitter
Atlanta Braves - Twitter