Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The Atlanta Braves (64-34) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they will meet the Boston Red Sox (53-47). The men taking the mound will be Spencer Strider and Brayan Bello.

The Braves have recorded 167 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 187 balls out of the park. Atlanta is slugging .491 and have struck out 804 times, while drawing a walk on 326 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 5.6 runs per contest, which has them at 3rd in baseball. They have 530 RBI's and 893 hits this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .267. They have tallied 550 runs while holding a team OBP of .336.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.03 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Braves pitchers have conceded 104 home runs and 402 runs in total (3rd in baseball). Atlanta has given up 799 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 366 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.77 over the course of the season (4th in the league), and the staff has rung up 918 batters. They have walked 303 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.92 as a squad for the season.

The Braves bullpen have a save rate of 66.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 121 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 125 runners on the year and 28.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 85 times as well as having 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 325 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have racked up 70 holds for the season (2nd in baseball). They have earned 33 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 17 of their 50 chances to get a save.

The Braves have converted 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,857 innings on the field, which has them ranked 23rd in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 2,619 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 813 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them sitting 27th in the majors, and they have turned 85 double plays.

Strider (23-8 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.40 while he has faced 1,013 hitters in the majors. He has given up 180 base knocks (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 81 walks. His earned run average is 3.20 (89 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.041. Strider has taken the mound for 250 frames and is sitting with 391 K's in his pro baseball career.

Boston has compiled 111 home runs so far this year to go along with 482 RBIs. They have put up 225 doubles, while walking 314 times and notching 504 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .332 as well as a team batting average of .265 this year. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .436 and they tally 5.04 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have been rung up on 819 occasions (21st in baseball) and have accounted for 910 base knocks.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.294 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.34 as a staff for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (863 strikeouts against 287 walks). They come in at 21st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 856. They have given up 128 long balls and they yield 4.72 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 463 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.33 (425 earned runs relinquished).

With 76 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 40 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 36 save chances and they have walked away with 28 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 79 times in high leverage situations in addition to 65 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.0% out of 100 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 1st in MLB holding a save rate of 77.8%, and they have sent 306 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

In 7,947 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (22nd in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 84 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have 884 assists, 68 errors and have earned 2,649 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Bello has allowed 161 base knocks while totaling 133 punch outs in 147 innings pitched. Bello (9-14 record in his career) has a 4.03 earned run average while allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 66 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.439 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and he has gone up against 648 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston

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