Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/25/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The Atlanta Braves (64-34) are en route to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (53-47). The starting pitchers will be Charlie Morton and Nick Pivetta.

The Braves have earned 167 two-baggers as a team and have hit 187 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .491 and have struck out 804 times, while drawing a walk on 326 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 5.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. They have tallied 530 runs batted in as well as 893 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average is sitting at .267. They have 550 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .336.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26. Braves pitchers have given up 104 home runs and 402 runs in total (3rd in the league). Atlanta has conceded 799 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 366 earned runs. The Braves have an ERA of 3.77 this year (4th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 918 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 303 opposing players and their FIP is 3.92 as a team for the season.

Braves pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 85 times as well as having 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 70 holds over the course of the season (2nd in the league). The Braves relievers have earned a save percentage of 66.0% and has come into the game in 121 save situations. They have tallied 33 saves this year and have blown 17 of their 50 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 125 runners so far this season and 28.0% of those players crossed the plate. The Braves have sent 325 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Braves have converted 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,857 innings on the field, ranking them 23rd in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 2,619 putouts so far this season, as well as 813 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which is 26th in professional baseball, and they have turned 85 double plays.

Morton has taken the mound for 1,906 innings and has earned 1,816 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.99 (846 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.299. He has surrendered 1,791 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 685 walks. Morton (126-108 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.76 while going up against 8,157 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an OBP of .332 as well as a batting average of .265 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 819 occasions (21st in the league) and have notched a total of 910 base knocks. Boston has compiled 111 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 482 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .436 and they average 5.04 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have recorded 225 two-baggers, while taking a walk 314 times and racking up 504 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.294 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.34 as a squad this year. They are sitting at 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 856. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 463 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.33 (425 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (863 strikeouts vs 287 free passes). They have allowed 128 homers and they concede 4.72 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 36 save chances and they have come away with 28 saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB with a save percentage of 77.8%, and they have sent 306 relievers to the mound on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 79 times in high leverage situations and also on 65 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.0% out of 100 inherited runners. With 76 save situations, the Red Sox have 40 holds and 8 blown saves.

In 7,947 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (22nd in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 84 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have racked up 884 assists, 68 errors and have a tally of 2,649 putouts for the year.

So far in his MLB career, Pivetta has surrendered 798 hits while he has tallied 879 punch outs in 817 frames. He has given up a total of 450 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.373 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and he has faced 3,526 hitters during his pro baseball career. Pivetta (46-55 mark in his career) has a 4.96 ERA while surrendering 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston

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