Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, October 23, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: TBS

The Arizona Diamondbacks are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Monday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 6 of the NLCS. Philly leads the series 3-2. The expected starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Aaron Nola. The Phillies open at -165 while the Snakes come in at +151.

The Diamondbacks have accumulated 274 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 166 baseballs out of the park. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .408 and have struck out 1,247 times, while being walked on 540 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 14th in MLB. They have 706 RBI's and 1,359 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .250. They have earned 746 runs and have an OBP of .322.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.32. Diamondbacks pitchers have conceded 197 long balls in addition to 761 runs in total (20th in the league). Arizona has conceded 1,375 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 713 earned runs. The Diamondbacks hold a team earned run average of 4.47 so far this year (20th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,351 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 525 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a squad for the season.

The Diamondbacks have sent 547 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 235 runners on the season and 30.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 44 saves on the season and have blown 27 of 71 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have a save rate of 62.0% and has entered the game in 149 save situations. The relievers have 76 holds so far this year (23rd in the league). Diamondbacks relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 166 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with 4,306 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,399 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .990 which ranks 1st in baseball, and have a total of 134 double plays. The Diamondbacks have transformed 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,918 innings on the field, which ranks them 14th in pro baseball.

Kelly (48-43 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.02 while he has faced 3,095 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 683 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 233 walks. His earned run average is 3.80 (317 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.220. Kelly has taken the ball for 750 innings and has tallied 681 punch outs in his MLB career.

Philadelphia has knocked in 220 HRs for the year to go along with 771 RBIs. They have tallied 291 two-baggers, while taking a walk 539 times as well as scoring 796 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .327 as well as a batting average of .256 for the year. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .438 and they earn 4.91 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,481 occasions (8th in MLB) and have totaled 1,417 base hits.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.239 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They rank 9th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,317. The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 715 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts against 470 walks). They have given up 185 long balls and they yield 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 71 save opportunities and they have recorded 45 saves. They rank 14th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.4%, and they have sent 523 relievers onto the diamond on the season. Their relievers have taken the field 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of 182 inherited base runners. Sitting with 158 save situations, the Phillies have earned 87 holds and also 26 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,385 assists, 92 errors and have accumulated 4,327 putouts on the campaign. In their 12,981 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (13th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Nola has given up 1,234 base hits while he has earned 1,582 strikeouts in 1,422 innings. He has surrendered 588 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.129 and a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.26 and he has gone up against 5,815 batters in his MLB career. Nola (90-71 career record) has earned a 3.72 ERA while conceding 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona

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