Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+142) Philadelphia (-168)

The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Arizona Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday in Game 2 of the NLCS. The moneyline on this contest has the Diamondbacks at +142 and the Phillies are priced at -168. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Merrill Kelly and Aaron Nola.

Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .408 and have been called out on strikes 1,247 times, while being walked on 540 occasions. They have accumulated 706 runs batted in as well as 1,359 hits for the season, while their batting average is .250. The Diamondbacks have hit 274 two-baggers as a team and have hit 166 balls out of the park. They have earned 746 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks have a team earned run average of 4.47 over the course of the season (20th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,351 hitters. Diamondbacks pitchers have given up 197 long balls and 761 total runs (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 525 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a squad on the year. Arizona has given up 1,375 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 713 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have a save rate of 62.0% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 235 runners for the season with 30.2% of those players crossed home plate. Diamondbacks relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 166 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 547 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have earned 76 holds this year (23rd in MLB). They have earned 44 saves this year and have blown 27 out of their 71 chances to save the game.

The Diamondbacks have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,918 innings, which has them sitting 14th in professional baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 4,306 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,399 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which ranks 1st in the majors, and have earned 134 double plays.

Kelly (48-43 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.02 and he has gone up against 3,095 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 683 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 233 walks. His earned run average is 3.80 (317 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.220. Kelly has taken the ball for 750 frames and has 681 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied an OBP of .327 as well as a team batting average of .256 for the season. They have struck out on 1,481 occasions (8th in the league) and have recorded 1,417 base hits. Philadelphia has accumulated 220 long balls for the year as well as 771 RBIs. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .438 and they tally 4.91 runs per game (8th in the league). They have put up 291 doubles, while taking a walk 539 times and putting up 796 runs.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.239 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.00 as a squad on the campaign. They are currently ranked 9th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,317. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 715 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts against 470 bases on balls). They have conceded 185 dingers and they give up 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 71 save opportunities and they have earned 45 saves. They are currently ranked 14th in baseball with a save rate of 63.4%, and they have sent 523 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.1% out of 182 inherited base runners. With 158 save situations, the Phillies have earned 87 holds and 26 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). The Phillies have 1,385 assists, 92 errors and have earned a total of 4,327 putouts on the campaign. In 12,981 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (13th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Nola has given up 1,234 base hits while totaling 1,582 strikeouts in 1,422 innings. He has surrendered a total of 588 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.129 and having a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 4.26 and he has gone up against 5,815 hitters during his MLB career. Nola (90-71 career record) has a 3.72 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arizona (+142)

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