Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, October 16, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+123) Philadelphia (-150)

Citizens Bank Park is where the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78) on Monday in Game 1 of the NLCS. The odds on this game have Arizona at +123 while Philadelphia is at -150. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Zac Gallen and Zack Wheeler.

As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB. They have accounted for 746 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Diamondbacks have earned 274 doubles as a team and have hit 166 balls out of the park. They have 706 RBI's and 1,359 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .250. Arizona has a slugging rate of .408 and have struck out 1,247 times, while being walked on 540 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. Diamondbacks pitchers have conceded 197 long balls and also 761 runs in total (20th in MLB). Arizona has allowed 1,375 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 713 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have an ERA of 4.47 for the year (20th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,351 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 525 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a squad this year.

The Diamondbacks bullpen have earned a save percentage of 62.0% and has entered the game in 149 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 235 base runners this season and 30.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 166 times and also have had 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 547 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have 76 holds for the season (23rd in the league). They have recorded 44 saves so far this season and have blown 27 of 71 save opportunities.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned a total of 4,306 putouts for the season, as well as 1,399 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which has them sitting 1st in the majors, and they have twisted 134 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,918 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball.

Gallen has taken the ball for 667 frames and has accumulated 729 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 3.21 (238 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.106. He has surrendered 534 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 204 free passes. Gallen (39-31 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.47 while going up against 2,708 hitters in the majors.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .256 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,481 occasions (8th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,417 base knocks. Philadelphia has hit 220 home runs on the season to go along with 771 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .438 and they average 4.91 runs per outing (8th in MLB). They have 291 two-baggers, while taking a walk 539 times and earning 796 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 715 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 185 home runs and they allow 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.239 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.00 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts against 470 bases on balls). They are sitting at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,317.

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.1% out of their 182 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 181 times in high leverage situations and on 131 occasions with base runners. With 158 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 87 holds and 26 blown saves. They are currently ranked 14th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.4%, and they have dispatched 523 relievers onto the field on the year. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 71 save opportunities and they have tallied 45 saves.

In their 12,981 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (13th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 117 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (21st in pro baseball). The Phillies have racked up 1,385 assists, 92 errors and have notched a total of 4,327 putouts for the season.

Wheeler (87-63 career record) has a 3.45 ERA while conceding 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and he has faced 5,714 hitters in his career. He has conceded 528 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.185 and having a FIP of 3.3. So far in his pro baseball career, Wheeler has surrendered 1,229 base hits while he has tallied 1,401 strikeouts in 1,378 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-150)

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