Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/14/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, September 14, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-105) New York (-115)

The New York Mets (66-78) are hosting the Arizona Diamondbacks (76-70) at Citi Field on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at -105 while New York is sitting at -115. The betting total is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Merrill Kelly and Kodai Senga.

Arizona has a slugging percentage of .416 and have struck out 1,138 times, while drawing a walk on 482 occasions. They have accrued 640 runs batted in in addition to 1,238 hits this season, and their team batting average sits at .252. The Diamondbacks have accounted for 252 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 157 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 677 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .323. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are compiling 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.33. Diamondbacks pitchers have given up 179 home runs and also 694 runs in total (20th in MLB). Arizona has surrendered 1,249 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 655 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 4.56 this year (21st in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,208 batters. They have walked 473 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.39 as a squad for the season.

Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 149 times in addition to having 143 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 69 holds on the season (24th in MLB). The Diamondbacks bullpen have earned a save rate of 63.2% and has come into the game in 139 save situations. They have accumulated 43 saves on the year and have missed out on 25 of their 68 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 214 runners this year with 29.9% of them crossed home plate. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 487 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Diamondbacks have turned 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,631 innings, which has them ranked 15th in baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 3,877 putouts on the year, as well as 1,256 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .991 which ranks 1st in MLB, and have accumulated 121 double plays.

Kelly has taken the ball for 727 innings and has accumulated 659 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.79 (306 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.220. He has surrendered 665 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 222 walks. Kelly (47-41 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.00 and he has gone up against 2,998 opposing batters in the majors.

New York is sitting with 192 home runs for the season and 611 runs batted in. They have hit 193 doubles, while taking a walk 476 times and scoring 628 runs. The New York Mets have accounted for a team OBP of .317 in addition to a batting average of .238 on the campaign. The Mets have a SLG% of .407 and they earn 4.36 runs per outing (20th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,172 instances (23rd in the league) and have a total of 1,132 hits.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 663 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.43 (619 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 173 long balls and they allow 4.74 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.377 and have a FIP of 4.55 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (1,236 strikeouts vs 541 bases on balls). They rank 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,192.

New York has had relievers enter the game in 50 save opportunities and they have earned 32 saves. They sit at 14th in the league with a save rate of 64.0%, and they have sent 477 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 141 times in high leverage situations and on 142 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.9% out of 213 inherited runners. Sitting with 135 save situations, the Mets have earned 80 holds in addition to 18 blown saves.

Out of their 11,328 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (17th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 128 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (17th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 1,246 assists, 76 errors and have a tally of 3,776 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Senga has allowed 114 base knocks while earning 181 punch outs in 149 innings. Senga (10-7 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.07 ERA and has surrendered 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 51 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.232 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.59 and he has faced 626 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-115) and under 7.5 runs

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