Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-105) New York (-115)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (75-69) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the New York Mets (65-77). The odds on this game have Arizona at -105 while New York is sitting at -115. The over/under is 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Ryne Nelson and Jose Butto.

The Diamondbacks have tallied 250 doubles as a squad and have knocked 156 baseballs out of the park. Arizona has a slugging percentage of .416 and have struck out 1,123 times, while taking a walk on 472 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are notching 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in baseball. They have tallied 632 runs batted in and 1,222 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is sitting at .252. They have notched a total of 669 runs scored and have an OBP of .323.

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The Diamondbacks have an earned run average of 4.55 this season (21st in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,189 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have relinquished 175 home runs and also 684 total runs (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 465 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.38 as a team for the season. Arizona has allowed 1,230 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 645 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33.

The Diamondbacks have sent 480 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 212 runners on the campaign with 30.2% of those runners crossed home plate. They have accumulated 42 saves for the season and have blown 25 of their 67 chances to get a save. The Diamondbacks bullpen have recorded a save rate of 62.7% and has come into the game in 138 save situations. The relievers have 69 holds this season (21st in the league). Diamondbacks relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 147 times in addition to having 141 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 3,826 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,245 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .991 which has them sitting 1st in pro baseball, and have a total of 120 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,478 innings, which ranks them 14th in baseball.

Nelson (8-8 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.91 while he has faced 630 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 156 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 45 free passes. His earned run average is 4.83 (80 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.349. Nelson has taken the mound for 149 innings and has earned 101 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .405 and they tally 4.35 runs per game (20th in the league). They have recorded 188 two-baggers, while getting a free base 468 times and earning 618 runs. New York has knocked in 188 home runs on the year as well as 601 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,153 occasions (23rd in the league) and are sitting with 1,113 base hits. The New York Mets are sitting with an OBP of .317 as well as a batting average of .237 this year.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.376 with a FIP of 4.55 as a pitching staff this season. They sit at 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,176. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 655 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.43 (611 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (1,221 strikeouts vs 531 free passes). They have conceded 172 home runs and they allow 4.75 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% of 210 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 137 times in high leverage situations and on 141 occasions with runners on. With 131 save situations, the Mets have tallied 78 holds and 17 blown saves. They rank 13th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.6%, and they have sent 469 relievers onto the diamond this year. New York has called on relievers to enter the contest in 48 save chances and they have earned 31 saves.

Out of their 11,166 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (17th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 125 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,226 assists, 75 errors and have a total of 3,722 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Butto has conceded 27 base hits while totaling 21 strikeouts in 25 frames. Butto (0-2 career win-loss mark) has earned a 5.76 ERA while allowing 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 16 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.760 and a FIP of 5.2. His K/BB ratio is 1.24 and he has gone up against 117 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-115)

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