Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+150) Milwaukee (-178)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78) are en route to American Family Field on Wednesday where they will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (92-70). in Game 2 of their series The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at +150 and Milwaukee is priced at -178. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Zac Gallen and Freddy Peralta.

As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are earning 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 14th in the league. They are sitting with 746 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322. The Diamondbacks have hit 274 doubles as a squad and have hit 166 balls out of the park. They have 706 RBI's in addition to 1,359 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is .250. Arizona has a slugging rate of .408 and have been called out on strikes 1,247 times, while drawing a walk on 540 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.32. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 197 long balls in addition to 761 runs in total (20th in baseball). Arizona has allowed 1,375 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 713 earned runs. The Diamondbacks hold a team ERA of 4.47 this season (20th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,351 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 525 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a team for the season.

The Diamondbacks have sent 547 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 235 runners for the year and 30.2% of them earned a run for their team. They have 44 saves on the season and have not converted 27 of their 71 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks relievers have a save percentage of 62.0% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. The relievers have notched 76 holds this season (23rd in the league). Diamondbacks relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 166 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated 4,306 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,399 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which puts them in 1st in the majors, and have a total of 134 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,918 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball.

Gallen (39-31 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.47 and he has faced 2,708 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 534 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) with 204 walks. His earned run average is 3.21 (238 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.106. Gallen has taken the mound for 667 frames and has accounted for 729 K's thus far in his career.

The Brewers hold a team SLG% of .385 and they score 4.49 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have put up 257 doubles, while getting a free base 591 times and putting up 728 runs. Milwaukee has recorded 165 HRs for the year as well as 696 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,412 instances (15th in MLB) and have earned 1,291 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded an OBP of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .240 this year.

The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.186 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.21 as a squad over the course of the season. They have a ranking of 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,218. The Milwaukee pitching staff have relinquished 647 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.71 (595 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,425 strikeouts vs 493 free passes). They have conceded 198 dingers and they surrender 4.04 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

With 175 save situations, the Brewers have 103 holds and 25 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 71 save opportunities and they have walked away with 46 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 173 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 162 inherited runners. They sit at 12th in baseball with a save rate of 64.8%, and they have dispatched 518 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Brewers have accrued 1,407 assists, 77 errors and have amassed 4,329 putouts so far this year. Out of their 12,987 innings played, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (1st in baseball).

So far in his career, Peralta has conceded 427 base knocks while he has accumulated 749 punch outs in 580 innings. He has given up 247 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.125 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.31 and he has faced 2,405 hitters in his MLB career. Peralta (42-27 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.83 ERA while allowing 6.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+150)

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