Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday, October 3, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+150) Milwaukee (-178)

The Milwaukee Brewers (92-70) will compete against the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78) at American Family Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Diamondbacks at +150 while the Brewers are coming in at -178. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Brandon Pfaadt and Corbin Burnes.

Arizona is slugging .408 and have struck out 1,247 times, while being walked on 540 occasions. They have accounted for 706 RBI's as well as 1,359 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is .250. The Diamondbacks have recorded 274 doubles as a team and have knocked 166 balls out of the stadium. They have 746 runs while holding a team OBP of .322. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are knocking in 4.6 runs/g, which has them sitting at 14th in the league.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32. Diamondbacks pitchers have yielded 197 long balls and 761 runs in total (20th in baseball). Arizona has surrendered 1,375 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 713 earned runs. The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.47 so far this season (20th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,351 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 525 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a team on the year.

The Diamondbacks relievers have a save percentage of 62.0% and has entered the game in 149 save situations. The relievers have inherited 235 base runners this year with 30.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. Diamondbacks pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 166 times as well as having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 547 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have tallied 76 holds this season (23rd in MLB). They have earned 44 saves this year and have missed out on 27 of their 71 chances to get a save.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned a total of 4,306 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,399 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which has them sitting 1st in baseball, and have earned 134 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of 12,918 innings on the diamond, ranking them 14th in professional baseball.

Pfaadt has taken the hill for 96 frames and is sitting with 94 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 5.72 (61 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.406. He has surrendered 109 base knocks (10.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 26 free passes. Pfaadt (3-9 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 5.18 and he has faced 421 batters in the majors.

The Brewers have a team SLG% of .385 and they tally 4.49 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have recorded 257 two-baggers, while getting a free base 591 times and racking up 728 runs. Milwaukee has accumulated 165 home runs for the season to go along with 696 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,412 occasions (15th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,291 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for an on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .240 this season.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 647 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.71 (595 earned runs conceded). They have given up 198 home runs and they surrender 4.04 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.186 in addition to having a FIP of 4.21 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (1,425 strikeouts against 493 free passes). They sit at 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,218.

With 175 save situations, the Brewers have earned 103 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relievers to enter the game in 71 save opportunities and they have come away with 46 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 173 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 162 inherited runners. They rank 12th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.8%, and they have sent 518 relievers onto the diamond this year.

In 12,987 innings played, the Brewers have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (1st in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 117 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors). The Brewers have accrued 1,407 assists, 77 errors and have 4,329 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Burnes has conceded 542 base knocks while earning 870 K's in 709 innings. Burnes (45-27 career mark) has earned a 3.26 ERA while giving up 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 257 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.055 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. His K/BB ratio is 4.22 and he has gone up against 2,865 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+150)

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