Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+155) Los Angeles (-190)

Dodger Stadium is where the Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) will meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78) on Saturday in Game 1 of the NLDS. The moneyline on this contest has Arizona at +155 and Los Angeles is priced at -190. The total is 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Clayton Kershaw.

The Diamondbacks have tallied 274 doubles as a team and have knocked 166 balls out of the park. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .408 and have been rung up 1,247 times, while being walked on 540 occasions. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 14th in baseball. They have compiled 706 runs batted in and 1,359 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average comes in at .250. They have tallied 746 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .322.

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The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 4.47 for the year (20th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,351 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 197 long balls in addition to 761 runs in total (20th in MLB). They have walked 525 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a squad on the year. Arizona has yielded 1,375 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 713 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Diamondbacks relievers have a save percentage of 62.0% and has entered the game in 149 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 235 runners on the season with 30.2% of them ended up scoring. Diamondbacks pitchers have come into the game with runners on 166 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 547 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen are sitting with 76 holds this year (23rd in baseball). They have tallied 44 saves for the year and have blown 27 of 71 save chances.

The Diamondbacks have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,918 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 14th in the majors. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 4,306 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,399 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which puts them in 1st in the majors, and they have turned 134 double plays.

Kelly (48-43 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.02 while he has faced 3,095 hitters in the majors. He has given up 683 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 233 free passes. His ERA is 3.80 (317 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.220. Kelly has taken the mound for 750 innings and has accumulated 681 strikeouts so far in his career.

Los Angeles has 249 home runs over the course of the season as well as 877 RBIs. They have tallied 303 two-baggers, while taking a walk 644 times and scoring 906 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a team OBP of .340 and a batting average of .257 on the year. The Dodgers hold a slugging % of .455 and they score 5.59 runs per contest (2nd in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,359 occasions (20th in MLB) and have earned 1,422 base hits.

The Dodgers hold a team WHIP of 1.202 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a staff on the campaign. They rank 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,284. The Los Angeles pitching staff have allowed 699 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.06 (652 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (1,388 strikeouts vs 454 bases on balls). They have surrendered 200 homers and they allow 4.35 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

With 150 save situations, the Dodgers have 88 holds and also 17 blown saves. Los Angeles has called on relievers to enter the contest in 61 save chances and they have come away with 44 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 157 times in high leverage situations in addition to 135 occasions with base runners. Los Angeles bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.1% out of their 203 inherited base runners. They rank 3rd in the league with a save rate of 72.1%, and they have sent 551 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season.

Out of their 13,017 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (2nd in the majors). The Los Angeles Dodgers have gotten 139 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (10th in the majors). The Dodgers have racked up 1,406 assists, 76 errors and have earned a total of 4,339 putouts this year.

So far in his career, Kershaw has surrendered 2,055 base knocks while he has accumulated 2,944 strikeouts in 2,712 frames. He has allowed 747 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.004 and a FIP of 2.8. His K/BB ratio is 4.40 and he has faced 10,683 hitters in his career. Kershaw (210-92 win-loss mark in his career) has a 2.48 ERA while conceding 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-190) and under 7.5 runs

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