Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, September 7, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

The Arizona Diamondbacks (71-68) are headed to Wrigley Field on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Chicago Cubs (75-64). The starting pitchers will be Ryne Nelson and Javier Assad.

As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are earning 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 14th in the league. They have accumulated 645 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Diamondbacks have hit 243 two-baggers as a team and have hit 151 balls out of the park. They have 609 RBI's in addition to 1,178 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is at .252. Arizona is slugging .417 and have been rung up 1,081 times, while drawing a walk on 455 occasions.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team ERA of 4.62 on the campaign (22nd in MLB), and they have rung up 1,153 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 172 home runs in addition to 670 runs (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 450 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.40 as a squad on the year. Arizona has given up 1,199 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 632 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.34.

The Diamondbacks have sent 464 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 206 runners for the year and 31.1% of those runners crossed the plate. They have earned 40 saves for the year and have blown 25 out of their 65 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks bullpen have earned a save percentage of 61.5% and has entered the game in 134 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 67 holds over the course of the season (21st in baseball). Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 143 times as well as having 135 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Diamondbacks have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,073 innings on the field, which has them sitting 16th in MLB. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 3,691 putouts thus far, as well as 1,197 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .991 which ranks 1st in the majors, and they have turned 115 double plays.

Nelson has pitched in 143 innings and has tallied 98 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 4.96 (79 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.374. He has given up 154 base knocks (9.7 hits per 9 innings) with 43 walks. Nelson (7-8 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.97 while going up against 610 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .419 and they are scoring 5.09 runs per game (6th in the league). They have recorded 229 doubles, while taking a walk 488 times as well as putting up 708 runs. Chicago has compiled 168 home runs on the year and 681 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,217 occasions (13th in baseball) and have totaled 1,197 hits. The Chicago Cubs have tallied a team OBP of .329 in addition to a batting average of .254 this year.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.269 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a team on the year. They are currently ranked 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,133. The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 613 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.08 (558 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (1,167 strikeouts vs 428 bases on balls). They have yielded 153 HR's and they yield 4.49 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.6% out of their 185 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations and on 110 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 118 save situations, the Cubs have compiled 73 holds and 14 blown saves. They are ranked 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.2%, and they have sent 429 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Chicago has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 44 save chances and they have tallied 30 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 119 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Cubs have accrued 1,267 assists, 76 errors and have earned 3,691 putouts this season. Out of their 11,073 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (10th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Assad has given up 105 hits while tallying 97 punch outs in 124 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 39 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.267 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.83 and he has faced 514 hitters so far in his career. Assad (5-4 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 2.82 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona

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