Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 10/5/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (98-61) will compete against the Washington Nationals (55-104) on Wednesday. The expected starting pitchers will be Erick Fedde and Jacob deGrom.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are scoring 3.8 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in baseball. They have accumulated 599 runs while having a team OBP of .311. The Nationals have hit 247 doubles as a team and have hit 134 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 575 runs batted in and 1,327 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average comes in at .249. Washington is slugging .378 and have been called out on strikes 1,190 times, while taking a walk on 439 occasions.

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The Nationals have compiled a team ERA of 4.96 for the year (29th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,194 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 547 batters and their FIP sits at 4.95 as a team so far this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 237 long balls and 834 runs (29th in MLB).

The Nationals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 62.2% and has come into the game in 105 save situations. The relievers have inherited 239 base runners on the season with 31.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. Nationals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 150 times and also have had 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 575 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have notched 59 holds this year (29th in baseball). They have recorded 28 saves this year and have blown 17 of their 45 save chances.

The Washington Nationals have a tally of 4,163 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,388 assists and 104 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which has them sitting 29th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 124 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,489 innings, which has them sitting 25th in MLB.

Fedde has pitched in 452 innings and has racked up 351 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 5.26 (264 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.507. He has allowed 492 base knocks (9.8 hits per 9 innings) with 189 free passes. Fedde (21-32 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.12 and he has gone up against 1,994 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Mets have a SLG% of .409 and they are earning 4.72 runs per outing (6th in baseball). They have recorded 266 doubles, while walking 499 times as well as scoring 751 runs. New York has tallied 164 home runs so far this season as well as 714 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,191 occasions (27th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,391 base knocks. The New York Mets have compiled a team on-base percentage of .331 in addition to a team batting average of .258 over the course of the season.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.187 and have a FIP of 3.53 as a unit for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.61 (1,534 strikeouts vs 425 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,250. They have allowed 167 homers and they yield 3.84 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The New York pitching staff have given up 602 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.61 (566 earned runs given up).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.2% out of 188 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 124 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with runners on. With 132 save situations, the Mets have earned 76 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league holding a save rate of 72.7%, and they have sent 474 relievers to the hill so far this year. New York has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 55 save chances and they have earned 40 saves.

In 12,705 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (18th in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 125 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in baseball). The Mets have racked up 1,334 assists, 66 errors and have accounted for 4,235 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, deGrom has surrendered 1,021 hits and he has 1,607 punch outs in 1,326 innings pitched. deGrom (82-57 career win-loss record) has earned a 2.52 ERA and has surrendered 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 372 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.998 and a FIP of 2.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.30 and he has gone up against 5,217 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York

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