Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 10/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, October 3, 2022

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-140) Baltimore (+120)

The Baltimore Orioles (82-77) will try to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (90-69) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday. The line on this contest has the Blue Jays at -140 while the Orioles are coming in at +120. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Jose Berrios and Dean Kremer.

Toronto has a slugging % of .431 and have struck out 1,207 times, while drawing a walk on 488 occasions. They have accumulated 737 runs batted in as well as 1,424 base knocks on the year, while their batting average is at .263. The Blue Jays have accrued 304 doubles as a squad and have hit 195 baseballs out of the park. They have 755 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which is 4th in the league.

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Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 178 home runs and 669 total runs (14th in the league). They have walked 415 opposing players and their FIP is 3.87 as a unit over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.29 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 3.90 for the year (15th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,364 hitters.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 570 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 244 base runners on the season and 25.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 44 saves over the course of the season and have blown 25 of their 69 save opportunities. The Blue Jays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 63.8% and stepped onto the hill in 160 save situations. The relievers have racked up 88 holds for the year (11th in baseball). Blue Jays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 160 times as well as having 181 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have turned 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,675 innings on the field, which has them ranked 21st in professional baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 4,225 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,316 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which ranks 12th in baseball, and have earned 118 double plays.

Berrios has taken the ball for 1,017 innings and is sitting with 1,001 strikeouts during his MLB career. Berrios (71-54 career record) has a FIP of 4.06 while facing 4,317 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.25 (481 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.256. He has surrendered 970 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 308 walks.

Baltimore has 170 home runs for the season as well as 629 RBIs. They have put up 266 two-baggers, while walking 459 times and putting up 664 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated an OBP of .305 in addition to a team batting average of .237 for the season. The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .392 and they average 4.20 runs per game (20th in the league). They have struck out on 1,365 instances (11th in baseball) and have earned 1,257 base knocks.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.287 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.75 (1,176 strikeouts vs 428 walks). They are currently ranked 25th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,371. They have surrendered 169 dingers and they surrender 4.33 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 673 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.99 (620 earned runs relinquished).

Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 57 save chances and they have come away with 44 saves. They rank 1st in baseball with a save rate of 77.2%, and they have sent 527 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 174 times in high leverage situations in addition to 209 occasions with runners on. Baltimore bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.2% of 301 inherited base runners. With 139 save situations, the Orioles have tallied 79 holds in addition to 13 blown saves.

Out of their 12,588 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (20th in pro baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 148 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in pro baseball). The Orioles have recorded 1,497 assists, 88 errors and have a total of 4,196 putouts for the season.

Kremer (9-14 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.55 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.17 and he has faced 816 opposing hitters in his career. He has surrendered 97 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.383 and a FIP of 4.6. So far in his MLB career, Kremer has surrendered 195 base hits while he has accumulated 152 strikeouts in 191 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-140)

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