Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/5/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, July 5, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+115) Boston (-135)

The Tampa Bay Rays (43-36) are traveling to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (44-35). The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +115 and Boston is sitting at -135. The total is 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jeffrey Springs and Nick Pivetta.

Tampa Bay is slugging .381 and have been called out on strikes 687 times, while taking a walk on 226 occasions. They have 308 RBI's in addition to 632 hits on the year, while their batting average is .238. The Rays have tallied 129 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 76 balls out of the stadium. They have 325 runs and hold an OBP of .302. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.1 runs/g, which puts them at 22nd in the league.

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Rays pitchers have relinquished 91 home runs in addition to 306 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 207 opposing players and their FIP is 3.88 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.29 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.14. The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.31 this season (4th in MLB), and they have struck out 682 batters.

Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 75 times and also have had 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 52 holds on the campaign (7th in baseball). The Rays relievers have a save rate of 53.7% and has come into the game in 94 save situations. They have recorded 22 saves so far this year and have missed out on 19 of their 41 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 105 runners on the campaign and 21.0% of those runners crossed home plate. The Rays have sent 283 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Rays have converted 71.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,339 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a total of 2,113 putouts thus far, as well as 669 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which puts them in 19th in pro baseball, and have earned 59 double plays.

Springs has pitched in 189 innings and has 219 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.95 (83 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.336. He has surrendered 182 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 71 free passes. Springs (13-7 career mark) has a FIP of 4.06 while going up against 808 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .413 and they score 4.73 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have hit 184 doubles, while getting a free base 243 times as well as recording 374 runs. Boston has hit 74 home runs on the year as well as 359 RBIs. They have been rung up on 625 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have recorded 712 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have recorded an on-base percentage of .325 as well as a team batting average of .260 over the course of the season.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.211 in addition to having a FIP of 3.90 as a unit so far this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 (677 strikeouts vs 236 free passes). They are currently ranked 10th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 619. They have surrendered 84 home runs and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 315 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.62 (284 earned runs relinquished).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 35 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves. They rank 30th in the league with a save rate of 48.6%, and they have dispatched 289 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 104 times in high leverage situations in addition to 87 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.9% out of their 127 inherited runners. With 91 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 56 holds and 18 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 67 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in baseball). The Red Sox have 675 assists, 40 errors and have amassed 2,119 putouts this season. In 6,357 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Pivetta has conceded 639 base hits while he has earned 700 strikeouts in 656 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 356 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.355 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and he has gone up against 2,816 hitters in his career. Pivetta (38-43 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.88 ERA while giving up 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-135)

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