Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/4/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, July 4, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The Tampa Bay Rays (42-36) are traveling to Fenway Park on Monday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (43-35). The pitchers expected to start will be Luis Patino and Michael Wacha.

Tampa Bay is slugging .370 and have been called out on strikes 659 times, while drawing a walk on 217 occasions. They have compiled 287 RBI's as well as 591 base knocks this year, and their team batting average sits at .233. The Rays have recorded 122 doubles as a team and have hit 68 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 301 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .297. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which is 26th in MLB.

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The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.32 over the course of the season (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 657 hitters. They have walked 197 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a unit on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.34 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.13. Rays pitchers have allowed 89 home runs and 296 runs (4th in MLB).

The Rays have sent 276 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 98 base runners for the season and 21.4% of those players ended up scoring. They have recorded 21 saves for the season and have blown 19 of their 40 save opportunities. The Rays relievers have a save rate of 52.5% and stepped onto the hill in 93 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 52 holds for the season (5th in MLB). Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 72 times as well as having 101 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 2,032 putouts so far this season, as well as 640 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them sitting 22nd in pro baseball, and they have twisted 54 double plays. The Rays have converted 71.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,096 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in professional baseball.

Patino (6-4 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.71 while facing 421 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 88 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 43 free passes. His ERA is 4.53 (48 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.374. Patino has taken the hill for 95 innings and is sitting with 95 K's in his MLB career.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .418 and they score 4.79 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have recorded 181 two-baggers, while getting a free base 235 times and earning 369 runs. Boston has tallied 74 HRs this year to go along with 357 runs batted in. They have struck out on 605 occasions (23rd in the league) and have totaled 696 base hits. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with a team OBP of .326 as well as a team batting average of .262 on the year.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 310 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.67 (280 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 83 long balls and they allow 4.06 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.211 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.83 (652 strikeouts against 230 bases on balls). They rank 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 602.

Sitting with 89 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 55 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Boston has had relievers take the mound in 34 save chances and they have recorded 17 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 100 times in high leverage situations and on 86 occasions with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.9% out of 127 inherited runners. They sit at 30th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 282 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 64 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 659 assists, 38 errors and have a total of 2,062 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 6,186 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (10th in professional baseball).

Wacha (69-49 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.05 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has gone up against 4,661 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed 493 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.317 and having a FIP of 4.1. So far in his MLB career, Wacha has conceded 1,083 hits while earning 967 K's in 1,096 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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