Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 10/4/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-115) Boston (-105)

The Tampa Bay Rays (86-73) are headed to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (75-84). The odds on this game have the Rays at -115 while the Red Sox are coming in at -105. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jeffrey Springs and Nathan Eovaldi.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in baseball. They have earned a total of 659 runs scored and hold an OBP of .309. The Rays have earned 291 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 135 balls out of the park. They have accrued 627 RBI's in addition to 1,274 hits this year, and their team batting average is .240. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .378 and have struck out 1,365 times, while drawing a walk on 487 occasions.

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The Rays are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.37 on the campaign (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,356 hitters. They have walked 374 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.68 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.63 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.14. Rays pitchers have allowed 168 home runs and also 595 runs in total (6th in the league).

Rays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 134 times as well as having 197 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 116 holds over the course of the season (1st in the league). The Rays relievers have accumulated a save rate of 55.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 198 save situations. They have recorded 44 saves so far this year and have blown 36 of 80 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 177 runners on the campaign with 25.4% of them ended up scoring. The Rays have sent 564 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 4,221 putouts for the season, as well as 1,355 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which is 13th in the majors, and they have turned 107 double plays. The Rays have turned 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,663 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 4th in pro baseball.

Springs has taken the ball for 261 frames and has earned 295 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 3.58 (104 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.280. He has surrendered 247 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 88 free passes. Springs (19-9 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 1,111 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .409 and they average 4.53 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have recorded 346 two-baggers, while getting a free base 469 times and putting up 716 runs. Boston has accumulated 151 HRs for the season and 686 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,343 occasions (15th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,395 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a batting average of .257 on the year.

The Boston pitching staff have allowed 775 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.57 (711 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 178 home runs and they allow 4.98 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.359 with a FIP of 4.14 as a unit for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.56 (1,318 strikeouts vs 515 free passes). They are currently ranked 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,388.

Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.6% of 230 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 177 times in high leverage situations and also on 154 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 150 save situations, the Red Sox have 84 holds and 29 blown saves. They are ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 56.1%, and they have sent 565 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 66 save chances and they have walked away with 37 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 129 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 1,413 assists, 83 errors and are sitting with 4,200 putouts over the course of the season. In 12,600 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (26th in the majors).

Eovaldi (66-68 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.17 ERA while allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.98 and he has faced 5,337 hitters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 581 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.324 and a FIP of 3.8. During his MLB career, Eovaldi has given up 1,305 hits while earning 1,056 punch outs in 1,252 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-115)

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