St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/22/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, September 22, 2022

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+110) San Diego (-130)

The St. Louis Cardinals (87-62) are traveling to Petco Park on Thursday where they will take on the San Diego Padres (82-66). The odds on this game have the Cardinals at +110 and the Padres are priced at -130. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jack Flaherty and Joe Musgrove.

As a squad, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.8 runs per contest, which is 4th in MLB. They have a total of 713 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .327. The Cardinals have accrued 262 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 183 balls out of the park. They have 685 runs batted in and 1,282 hits on the year, while their batting average is sitting at .254. St. Louis has a slugging % of .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,121 times, while taking a walk on 493 occasions.

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The Cardinals have an ERA of 3.80 this year (9th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,077 hitters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Cardinals pitchers have yielded 137 long balls in addition to 589 total runs (9th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 440 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.96 as a team this year.

Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 148 times and also have had 122 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 62 holds on the season (25th in MLB). The Cardinals relief pitchers have a save percentage of 68.6% and has come into the game in 113 save situations. They have recorded 35 saves for the season and have not converted 16 of their 51 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 223 base runners for the year and 34.5% of those players crossed home plate. The Cardinals have sent 425 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Cardinals have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,913 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 8th in baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals have amassed 3,971 putouts this year, as well as 1,591 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which has them ranked 1st in MLB, and have earned 165 double plays.

Flaherty has pitched in 510 innings and has totaled 584 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 3.42 (194 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.105. He has given up 382 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) with 182 walks. Flaherty (32-25 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.93 while facing 2,086 batters in the majors.

San Diego has compiled 141 home runs for the year to go along with 627 runs batted in. They have put up 251 two-baggers, while getting a free base 525 times as well as scoring 648 runs. The San Diego Padres have earned a team OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .241 so far this season. The Padres have a team SLG% of .382 and they average 4.38 runs per outing (14th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,194 instances (21st in the league) and have recorded 1,201 hits.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.206 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a squad for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.15 (1,316 strikeouts against 418 walks). They rank 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,168. They have surrendered 160 HR's and they give up 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 612 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.87 (566 earned runs yielded).

San Diego has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 63 save chances and they have earned 45 saves. They sit at 5th in the league holding a save rate of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 435 relievers to the mound on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 146 times in high leverage situations and on 115 occasions with runners on. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 40.0% out of 185 inherited runners. With 131 save situations, the Padres have 64 holds and also 18 blown saves.

Out of their 11,835 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (9th in MLB). The San Diego Padres have gotten 110 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (9th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 1,252 assists, 72 errors and have earned a total of 3,945 putouts for the season.

Musgrove (50-54 career win-loss record) holds a 3.85 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.97 and he has gone up against 3,509 opposing batters during his career. He has conceded a total of 361 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.168 and a FIP of 3.8. So far in his MLB career, Musgrove has allowed 775 base knocks and he has 833 K's in 843 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (+110)

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