Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/31/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, July 31, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+100) Houston (-120)

The Seattle Mariners (54-47) are traveling to Minute Maid Park on Sunday where they will go up against the Houston Astros (66-35). The moneyline on this contest has Seattle at +100 and Houston is at -120. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be George Kirby and Jake Odorizzi.

As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.1 runs/g, which ranks them 23rd in the league. They are sitting with 409 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .317. The Mariners have accumulated 158 doubles as a squad and have hit 110 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 391 RBI's as well as 788 hits this season, while their team batting average comes in at .235. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .387 and have been called out on strikes 864 times, while drawing a walk on 363 occasions.

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Mariners pitchers have surrendered 126 long balls and 389 runs in total (5th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 287 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.14 as a squad on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22. The Mariners have a team ERA of 3.66 on the season (7th in the league), and the staff has struck out 841 hitters.

The Mariners relievers have compiled a save rate of 73.5% and has entered the game in 88 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners for the season with 26.6% of them crossed the plate. Mariners relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 79 times and also have had 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have sent 334 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 53 holds so far this season (16th in the league). They have recorded 25 saves so far this year and have blown 9 of their 34 save opportunities.

The Mariners have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,070 innings on the field, ranking them 4th in professional baseball. The Seattle Mariners have earned 2,690 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 822 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .990 which has them ranked 1st in professional baseball, and have accumulated 73 double plays.

Kirby has taken the hill for 69 innings and has totaled 66 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.50 (27 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.197. He has allowed 73 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 10 free passes. Kirby (2-3 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.99 and he has gone up against 291 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

Houston is sitting with 145 home runs for the year as well as 440 runs batted in. They have hit 172 doubles, while taking a walk 352 times as well as earning 454 runs. The Houston Astros are sitting with an OBP of .318 in addition to a batting average of .241 on the year. The Astros have a SLG% of .427 and they are earning 4.50 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have struck out on 754 occasions (28th in MLB) and have earned 807 base knocks.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.104 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.53 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.10 (898 strikeouts against 290 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 696. They have yielded 89 home runs and they relinquish 3.42 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 339 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.03 (301 earned runs conceded).

Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.7% out of their 101 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 98 times in high leverage situations and also on 67 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 103 save situations, the Astros have tallied 63 holds and 9 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in baseball with a save rate of 77.5%, and they have dispatched 296 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Houston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 40 save opportunities and they have come away with 31 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (13th in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 771 assists, 51 errors and have notched a total of 2,681 putouts for the season. In 8,043 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 72.5% (1st in professional baseball).

During his career, Odorizzi has surrendered 1,081 base hits and he has 1,124 strikeouts in 1,200 frames. Odorizzi (72-66 career win-loss record) holds a 3.96 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 528 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.240 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.76 and he has gone up against 5,042 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-120)

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