Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, July 28, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Minute Maid Park is the location where the Houston Astros (64-34) will compete against the Seattle Mariners (53-45) on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers will be Logan Gilbert and Jose Urquidy.

As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are recording 4.1 runs/g, which has them at 23rd in MLB. They have accounted for 402 runs scored while having a team OBP of .319. The Mariners have accrued 150 doubles as a squad and have smacked 109 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 384 RBI's and 771 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .236. Seattle has a slugging rate of .389 and have been called out on strikes 844 times, while taking a walk on 355 occasions.

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The Mariners have a team ERA of 3.58 for the season (5th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 822 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 276 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a team on the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21. Mariners pitchers have surrendered 121 home runs and also 372 runs in total (5th in the league).

Mariners relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 77 times in addition to having 105 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 51 holds so far this season (15th in MLB). The Mariners relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 72.7% and has entered the game in 85 save situations. They have compiled 24 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 9 out of their 33 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 104 base runners on the year and 27.9% of those runners ended up scoring. The Mariners have sent 324 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Seattle Mariners have earned 2,615 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 799 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .991 which puts them in 1st in baseball, and they have twisted 72 double plays. The Mariners have transformed 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,845 innings on the field, ranking them 4th in professional baseball.

Gilbert has taken the ball for 236 frames and has tallied 240 strikeouts so far in his career. Gilbert (16-9 career record) holds a FIP of 3.56 while he has gone up against 982 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.73 (98 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.159. He has allowed 216 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 58 free passes.

Houston has knocked in 139 home runs for the year to go along with 424 runs batted in. They have 165 doubles, while getting a free base 341 times and putting up 437 runs. The Houston Astros are sitting with an on-base percentage of .317 as well as a batting average of .240 so far this season. The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .424 and they earn 4.46 runs per outing (14th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 736 instances (28th in baseball) and have tallied 781 base knocks.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.109 and have a FIP of 3.55 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.07 (876 strikeouts against 285 walks). They rank 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 677. They have surrendered 87 dingers and they surrender 3.45 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have given up 332 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.05 (294 earned runs surrendered).

Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.6% of 98 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 97 times in high leverage situations in addition to 64 occasions with runners on base. With 102 save situations, the Astros have earned 63 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in the league holding a save rate of 76.9%, and they have sent 290 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Houston has called on relievers to take the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have recorded 30 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 71 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in the majors). The Astros have accrued 755 assists, 50 errors and have accumulated 2,603 putouts this year. Out of their 7,809 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (1st in the majors).

So far in his career, Urquidy has allowed 249 base hits while he has tallied 224 strikeouts in 278 innings pitched. Urquidy (20-9 record in his career) has earned a 3.69 earned run average and has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 114 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.096 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.00 and he has gone up against 1,130 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle

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