Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, October 11, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+199) Houston (-240)

The Seattle Mariners (90-72) are en route to Minute Maid Park on Tuesday where they will meet the Houston Astros (106-56). The moneyline on this matchup has the Mariners at +199 while the Astros are coming in at -240. The total has been set at 6.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Logan Gilbert and Justin Verlander.

The Mariners have accumulated 229 two-baggers as a team and have hit 197 balls out of the park. Seattle is slugging .390 and have been rung up 1,397 times, while drawing a walk on 596 occasions. As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are notching 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 18th in baseball. They have recorded 664 RBI's in addition to 1,237 hits on the year, while their batting average is .230. They have earned 690 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .315.

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The Mariners have compiled a team ERA of 3.59 over the course of the season (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,391 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 447 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.90 as a unit so far this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Mariners pitchers have conceded 186 home runs and 623 total runs (7th in MLB).

The Mariners have dispatched 536 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 163 base runners so far this season with 27.6% of those runners crossed home plate. They have recorded 40 saves so far this year and have not converted 15 of 55 chances to get a save. The Mariners relievers have recorded a save percentage of 72.7% and has come into the game in 148 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 92 holds so far this season (11th in the league). Mariners relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 126 times in addition to having 175 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mariners have converted 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 13,023 innings, which has them sitting at 4th in baseball. The Seattle Mariners have accounted for 4,341 putouts this season, in addition to 1,317 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 5th in baseball, and have 114 double plays.

Gilbert has taken the ball for 305 frames and has totaled 302 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.78 (128 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.177. He has allowed 282 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 77 walks. Gilbert (19-11 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.56 and he has faced 1,269 batters during his time in the majors.

The Houston Astros have recorded an OBP of .319 and a batting average of .248 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 1,179 instances (29th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,341 base hits. Houston has compiled 214 home runs for the year as well as 715 runs batted in. The Astros hold a slugging % of .424 and they average 4.55 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have put up 284 two-baggers, while taking a walk 528 times and notching 737 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have conceded 518 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 2.90 (465 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 134 HR's and they allow 3.23 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.093 and have a FIP of 3.28 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.33 (1,524 strikeouts vs 458 free passes). They come in at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,121.

Houston has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 69 save opportunities and they have earned 53 saves. They rank 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 480 relievers to the hill on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 160 times in high leverage situations in addition to 103 occasions with runners on base. Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.7% out of 148 inherited runners. With 171 save situations, the Astros have amassed 102 holds and also 16 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 122 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in baseball). The Astros have accrued 1,290 assists, 72 errors and have accounted for 4,336 putouts this season. In 13,008 innings played, the Astros have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (3rd in MLB).

During his career, Verlander has given up 2,654 base knocks while he has accumulated 3,198 K's in 3,163 innings pitched. Verlander (244-133 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.24 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 1,139 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.117 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 12,880 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-240)

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