San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/22/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, October 22, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FOX

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (87-75) will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres (89-73) on Saturday in Game 4 of the NLCS. The pitchers taking the mound are Mike Clevinger and Noah Syndergaard.

The Padres have hit 276 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 153 baseballs out of the park. San Diego is slugging .382 and have been called out on strikes 1,327 times, while being walked on 574 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 13th in the league. They have 682 RBI's and 1,318 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .241. They have earned a total of 705 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .318.

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The Padres have an earned run average of 3.81 on the season (11th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,451 hitters. They have walked 468 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.82 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.10 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20. Padres pitchers have allowed 173 home runs and 660 total runs (10th in baseball).

The Padres relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 68.6% and has entered the game in 145 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 200 runners for the season with 40.0% of those players earned a run for their team. Padres relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 127 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 488 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have tallied 70 holds over the course of the season (24th in the league). They have recorded 48 saves on the campaign and have blown 22 of 70 save opportunities.

The San Diego Padres have notched a total of 4,330 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,362 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and have a total of 116 double plays. The Padres have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,990 innings on the diamond, ranking them 8th in the majors.

Clevinger (51-30 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.79 while he has faced 2,691 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 538 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 242 walks. His ERA is 3.39 (247 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.188. Clevinger has taken the ball for 656 innings and is sitting with 694 punch outs in his career.

The Phillies have a SLG% of .422 and they average 4.61 runs per game (7th in the league). They have notched 255 doubles, while getting a free base 478 times as well as notching 747 runs. Philadelphia has 205 home runs for the year and 719 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,363 occasions (18th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,392 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .317 as well as a batting average of .253 so far this year.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.256 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.60 as a staff on the year. They come in at 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,330. The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 685 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.97 (630 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.07 (1,423 strikeouts against 463 bases on balls). They have relinquished 150 homers and they allow 4.32 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.5% out of 197 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 149 times in high leverage situations and on 130 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Phillies have amassed 88 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 7th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have sent 516 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Philadelphia has had relievers step onto the hill in 60 save chances and they have come away with 42 saves.

Out of their 12,855 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (25th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 129 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (4th in the majors). The Phillies have racked up 1,416 assists, 69 errors and have earned a total of 4,285 putouts for the season.

Syndergaard (57-41 mark in his career) has earned a 3.42 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.43 and he has faced 3,513 hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 324 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.176 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. In his pro baseball career, Syndergaard has conceded 806 hits and he has 872 strikeouts in 852 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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