San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/21/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, October 21, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-110) Philadelphia (-112)

The Philadelphia Phillies are welcoming the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park on Friday for Game 3 of the NLCS. The series is tied 1-1 after the Padres won Game 2 by a score of 8-5.  The moneyline on this game has San Diego at -110 while Philadelphia opens at -112. The total comes in at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Ranger Suarez.

San Diego has a slugging % of .382 and have been called out on strikes 1,327 times, while drawing a walk on 574 occasions. They have amassed 682 RBI's in addition to 1,318 base knocks this season, while their team batting average is at .241. The Padres have hit 276 doubles as a squad and have hit 153 balls out of the park. They have racked up 705 runs while holding a team OBP of .318. As a team, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 13th in the league.

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The Padres hold a team earned run average of 3.81 on the season (11th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,451 hitters. They have walked 468 batters and their FIP is 3.82 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.10 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.20. Padres pitchers have surrendered 173 long balls and 660 total runs (10th in the league).

The Padres have sent 488 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 200 base runners this season and 40.0% of those runners crossed the plate. They have earned 48 saves this season and have blown 22 of their 70 save opportunities. The Padres relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 68.6% and has entered the game in 145 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 70 holds this season (24th in MLB). Padres pitchers have come into the game with runners on 127 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have accumulated 4,330 putouts for the season, as well as 1,362 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and they have turned 116 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,990 innings, which has them sitting 8th in MLB.

Musgrove (50-54 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.79 and he has gone up against 3,576 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 786 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 218 walks. His earned run average is 3.79 (362 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.169. Musgrove has taken the hill for 859 innings and has totaled 852 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied an OBP of .317 in addition to a batting average of .253 on the season. They have been rung up on 1,363 occasions (18th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,392 base knocks. Philadelphia is sitting with 205 home runs this season as well as 719 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .422 and they are recording 4.61 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have 255 doubles, while taking a walk 478 times and earning 747 runs.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.256 and have a FIP of 3.60 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 3.07 (1,423 strikeouts against 463 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,330. They have conceded 150 homers and they surrender 4.32 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 685 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.97 (630 earned runs given up).

Philadelphia has had relief pitchers take the mound in 60 save opportunities and they have come away with 42 saves. They are currently ranked 7th in MLB with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have sent 516 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 149 times in high leverage situations in addition to 130 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of 197 inherited base runners. With 149 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 88 holds and also 18 blown saves.

In 12,855 innings played, the Phillies hold a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (25th in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 129 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,416 assists, 69 errors and have a total of 4,285 putouts during this campaign.

Suarez (25-15 career mark) has a 3.12 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and he has faced 1,380 batters in his career. He has given up 114 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.271 and having a FIP of 3.6. In his pro baseball career, Suarez has allowed 305 hits while tallying 290 strikeouts in 329 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-110)

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