San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, 10/9/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, October 9, 2022

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+112) New York (-132)

The San Diego Padres are hitting the road to Citi Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets in Game 3 of their Wild Card series. The series is tied 1-1 after the Mets won Game 2 by a score of 7-3. The line on this matchup has the Padres at +112 and the Mets are sitting at -132. The betting total is set at 6.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Joe Musgrove and Chris Bassitt.

San Diego has a slugging % of .382 and have struck out 1,327 times, while being walked on 574 occasions. They have amassed 682 RBI's as well as 1,318 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average sits at .241. The Padres have hit 276 doubles as a unit and have hit 153 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 705 runs scored while having a team OBP of .318. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in the league.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

Padres pitchers have given up 173 long balls and also 660 total runs (10th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 468 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.82 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.10 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.20. The Padres have an ERA of 3.81 so far this season (11th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,451 hitters.

The Padres have sent 488 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 200 base runners over the course of the season and 40.0% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 48 saves so far this year and have missed out on 22 of 70 save opportunities. The Padres relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 68.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 145 save situations. The relievers have earned 70 holds on the season (24th in the league). Padres relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 127 times and also have had 162 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have earned 4,330 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,362 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 8th in baseball, and have accumulated 116 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,990 innings, which ranks them 8th in the majors.

Musgrove has thrown 859 frames and has racked up 852 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.79 (362 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.169. He has allowed 786 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 218 free passes. Musgrove (50-54 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.79 while he has gone up against 3,576 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

New York has 171 home runs over the course of the season as well as 735 RBIs. They have recorded 272 two-baggers, while walking 510 times and earning 772 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .259 on the season. The Mets have a team slugging % of .412 and they have an average of 4.77 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have struck out on 1,217 occasions (28th in the league) and have accounted for 1,422 base hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.183 with a FIP of 3.51 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.66 (1,565 strikeouts vs 428 bases on balls). They rank 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,274. They have surrendered 169 homers and they allow 3.79 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The New York pitching staff have relinquished 606 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.57 (570 earned runs relinquished).

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 37.0% of 189 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 125 times in high leverage situations and also on 138 occasions with runners on base. With 135 save situations, the Mets have earned 77 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They rank 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 73.2%, and they have dispatched 483 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have earned 41 saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 128 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (2nd in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,359 assists, 67 errors and have notched a total of 4,316 putouts during this campaign. In 12,948 innings played, the Mets have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.2% (19th in baseball).

Bassitt (46-34 career mark) holds a 3.45 ERA while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has gone up against 3,090 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 283 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.196 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Bassitt has allowed 654 hits and he has 671 strikeouts in 737 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (+112)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here