San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 9/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, September 17, 2022

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-125) Arizona (+105)

The San Diego Padres (78-66) are headed to Chase Field on Saturday where they will compete against the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-75). The moneyline on this game has San Diego at -125 and Arizona is opening at +105. The over/under comes in at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start are Joe Musgrove and Zac Gallen.

San Diego has a slugging % of .378 and have been called out on strikes 1,180 times, while taking a walk on 515 occasions. They have earned 602 RBI's in addition to 1,161 hits this year, while their batting average is at .239. The Padres have accumulated 242 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 133 baseballs out of the stadium. They have racked up 623 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .318. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 17th in MLB.

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The Padres have compiled a team ERA of 3.95 this year (17th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,281 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22. Padres pitchers have relinquished 158 home runs in addition to 608 total runs (15th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 415 hitters and their FIP is 3.87 as a unit on the year.

Padres bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 114 times in addition to having 144 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 62 holds for the year (23rd in MLB). The Padres bullpen have a save percentage of 71.0% and stepped onto the hill in 128 save situations. They have accumulated 44 saves this season and have blown 18 of their 62 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 183 runners so far this season with 40.4% of those runners ended up scoring. The Padres have dispatched 426 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Padres have transformed 70.0% of balls in play into outs in their 11,511 innings, which has them sitting 12th in MLB. The San Diego Padres have accounted for 3,837 putouts this season, as well as 1,227 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which ranks 11th in professional baseball, and have 108 double plays.

Musgrove (49-54 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.83 and he has faced 3,487 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 771 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 210 walks. His ERA is 3.88 (361 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.172. Musgrove has pitched in 837 innings and has earned 825 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have compiled an OBP of .309 and a batting average of .231 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,155 occasions (22nd in the league) and have 1,089 base hits. Arizona has accumulated 160 home runs so far this year as well as 596 RBIs. The Diamondbacks have a SLG% of .390 and they have an average of 4.44 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have recorded 224 two-baggers, while getting a free base 493 times as well as scoring 635 runs.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.285 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.20 as a unit on the campaign. They rank 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,183. The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 651 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.24 (595 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.43 (1,070 strikeouts against 440 bases on balls). They have conceded 156 long balls and they relinquish 4.64 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).

Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.0% out of their 178 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 152 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 125 save situations, the Diamondbacks have recorded 72 holds and also 22 blown saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 56.9%, and they have sent 488 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Arizona has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 51 save opportunities and they have come away with 29 saves.

In 11,370 innings played, the Diamondbacks have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (10th in professional baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 119 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). The Diamondbacks have racked up 1,222 assists, 78 errors and have accounted for 3,790 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Gallen has surrendered 329 hits while he has accumulated 480 punch outs in 432 frames. He has allowed 149 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.109 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.20 and he has faced 1,764 hitters thus far in his career. Gallen (22-20 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.10 ERA while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+105)

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